Match Info

National League - Round 21

Date: 11 March 2026, Wednesday


	ISPE		Dagon Port

	1	X	2
	2.68	3.9	2.08
	2.7	4	2.02
	2.8	4.24	2	Watch
	1.8	4	3.2
	2.75	4	2.05	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 ↑ (1.98)	4.03 ↑ (3.95)	2.27 ↓ (2.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

ISPE
36.3%

Draw
23%

Dagon Port
40.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.9%

23%

31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.8%

23.5%

30.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ISPE has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that ISPE's form might have worsened.

Dagon Port has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dagon Port's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for ISPE than the current prediction. (+10.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for ISPE, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dagon Port than the current prediction. (-10.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dagon Port, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

ISPE - Dagon Port Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Dagon Port (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - ISPE (1.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. ISPE (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Dagon Port (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
67', 1 - 0, Oo S. N. ⚽,
77', 2 - 0, Kaung M. N. ⚽,
90+7', 2 - 1, Cantona A. E. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 7 and 10).

ISPE has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Dagon Port has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, ISPE has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, ISPE won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:3. (average 2.7:1).

Including home match between the teams, ISPE won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Ispe FC	2	0	0	2	3:6	-3	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ISPE FC
Myanmar National League
04.03.26	Thitsar Arman - ISPE	2:1 ✺
25.02.26	ISPE - Shan United	1:6 ✺
15.02.26	Yarmanya United - ISPE	1:2 ✺
09.02.26	Dagon - ISPE	3:1 ✺
04.02.26	Hanthawaddy United - ISPE	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LLWLT
- Dagon Port FC
Myanmar National League
06.03.26	Dagon Port - Rakhine United	5:3 ✺
26.02.26	Dagon Port - Yarmanya United	5:2 ✺
20.02.26	Thitsar Arman - Dagon Port	2:2 ✺
14.02.26	Ayeyawady United - Dagon Port	1:0 ✺
04.02.26	Dagon Port - Dagon	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Myanmar National League
18.08.25	Dagon Port - ISPE	2:1
23.11.24	ISPE - Dagon Port	7:1
22.09.24	Dagon Port - ISPE	0:0

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