Match Info

Besta deild karla - Round 19

Date: 15 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Thorsvollur (Akureyri)

Where to Watch on TV:


Iceland	SÝN Sport Ísland 2
Usa	SportsEngine Play
World	OneFootball TV


	Thor Akureyri		Keflavík

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.70	3.90	2.15
	2.75	3.75	2.15	Watch
	2.78	4.05	2.28
	2.77	4.08	2.24	Watch
	2.75	4	2.2
	2.62	4.09	2.26	Watch
	2.75	3.85	2.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.73 ↓ (2.97)	3.96 ↓ (4.04)	2.21 ↑ (2.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Thor Akureyri
34.2%

Draw
23.6%

Keflavík
42.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.1%

22.9%

46.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32%

22.3%

44.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Thor Akureyri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Keflavík has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thor Akureyri than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Keflavík than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Thor Akureyri - Keflavík Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Stefansson A. (C) 6. Gudbrandsson G. 5. Affi Y. 2. Arnarsson A. 16. Brynjolfsson B. 22. Hlynsson A. 35. Ingolfsson T. 23. Vazquez K. 25. Jakobsen C. 17. Gislason F. 9. Bertomeu V.	1. Magnusson A. (G) 3. Johannesson A. 4. Heras N. 20. Brigic M. 22. Magnusson A. 7. Valsson D. 6. Magnusson S. (C) 17. Gudlaugsson B. 23. Ragnarsson E. 14. Mudrazija M. 11. Al Ghoul M.
Substitutes
37. Gunnarsson S. 30. Helgason P. 3. Hlynsson B. 18. Ingason S. 28. Lalic F. (G) 10. Magnusson A. 20. Ottosson V. 4. Runarsson H. 7. Sigurjonsson A.	15. Adalbjorssnos A. 18. Bjarnason E. 42. Brynjarsson B. L. 2. Bwomono E. 25. Elvarsson F. 12. Hermannsson H. (G) 26. Holmarsson R. 47. Karlsson E. 88. Simicic M.
Coaches
Hoskuldsson S.	Gudmundsson H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
16', Johannesson A. 🟨,
32', 0 - 1, Ragnarsson E. ⚽, Magnusson S. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
56', Brigic M. 🟨,
60', Hlynsson A. 🟨,
65', Johannesson A. ↓, Bwomono E. ↑,
67', Ingolfsson T. ↓, Magnusson A. ↑,
67', Gislason F. ↓, Sigurjonsson A. ↑,
70', Bertomeu V. 🟨,
71', Gudlaugsson B. ↓, Simicic M. ↑,
78', Bertomeu V. ↓, Helgason P. ↑,
79', Arnarsson A. ↓, Gunnarsson S. ↑,
86', Vazquez K. ↓, Hlynsson B. ↑,
87', 0 - 2, Ragnarsson E. ⚽, Al Ghoul M. (A),
89', Magnusson S. ↓, Bjarnason E. ↑,
89', Mudrazija M. ↓, Elvarsson F. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 12 in the zone Besta deild karla (Relegation Group: ) and 7 in the zone Besta deild karla (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Thor won 0.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Keflavík will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Thor won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 22:33. (average 1.2:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Thor won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:16. (average 1.2:1.8).

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Keflavik	24	8	5	11	36:44	-8	29

Last Results with these Odds

Thor Akureyri - the odds 2.97 are the expected chance of winning is 31.07%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Thor Akureyri
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
09.08.26	Akraness - Thor Akureyri	2:0 ✺
04.08.26	Thor Akureyri - Breiðablik	1:0 ✺
27.07.26	KA Akureyri - Thor Akureyri	0:0 ✺
18.07.26	Thor Akureyri - Vikingur Reykjavik	2:1 ✺
12.07.26	Fram - Thor Akureyri	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 45.8 LWTWL
- Keflavík
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
09.08.26	Stjarnan - Keflavík	1:0 ✺
05.08.26	Keflavík - KA Akureyri	3:0 ✺
24.07.26	Vikingur Reykjavik - Keflavík	5:1 ✺
20.07.26	Keflavík - Akraness	5:2 ✺
13.07.26	Breiðablik - Keflavík	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Icelandic Besta-deild karla
22.05.26	Keflavík - Thor Akureyri	1:0
Icelandic Division 1
25.07.25	Keflavík - Thor Akureyri	2:2
18.05.25	Thor Akureyri - Keflavík	2:4
31.07.24	Keflavík - Thor Akureyri	3:2
25.05.24	Thor Akureyri - Keflavík	1:1
Icelandic League Cup
12.02.23	Thor Akureyri - Keflavík	4:1
Icelandic Division 1
07.09.20	Thor Akureyri - Keflavík	1:3

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