Match Info

Besta deild karla - Round 9

Date: 31 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Thorsvollur (Akureyri)

Referee: Twana A. K. (Irq)

Where to Watch on TV:


World	Onefootball


	Thor Akureyri		Stjarnan

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3	3.9	2.02	Watch
	3.52	3.95	2.02
	3.27	3.77	2.08	Watch
	3.1	3.6	1.95
	3.15	3.94	2.01	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.21 ↓ (3.83)	3.83 ↓ (4.4)	2.02 ↑ (1.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Thor Akureyri
29.2%

Draw
24.4%

Stjarnan
46.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.1%

21%

54.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.9%

18.1%

47.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Thor Akureyri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Thor Akureyri's performance.

Stjarnan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Stjarnan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thor Akureyri than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stjarnan than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	33.3%	66.7%

Thor Akureyri - Stjarnan Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Stjarnan will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Stefansson A. (C) 17. Gislason F. 2. Arnarsson A. 19. Ragnarsson R. 15. Kristjansson K. 10. Magnusson A. 8. Halldorsson E. 22. Hlynsson A. 16. Brynjolfsson B. 7. Sigurjonsson A. 25. Jakobsen C.	12. Olafsson A. (G) 5. Kristjansson G. (C) 6. Ingimarsson S. T. 3. Kjeldsen G. 32. Orvarsson O. 8. Gunnarsson J. 27. Dankerlui D. 18. Nokkvason G. 19. Matthiasson D. 11. Ingason B. 22. Atlason E.
Substitutes
5. Affi Y. 21. Baldvinsson E. 37. Gunnarsson S. 9. Haugland S. 18. Ingason S. 23. Kristjansson I. 20. Ottosson V. 4. Runarsson H. 28. Vieira Thomas L. (G)	1. Bergmann Gylfason D. (G) 36. Bjornsson A. 37. Bjornsson B. 17. Brink H. O. 33. Gardarsson B. 14. Hauksson B. 30. Martin M. A. D. 35. Saemundsson B. 4. Thorisson T.
Coaches
Hoskuldsson S.	Elisabetarson J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Hlynsson A. ⚽, Jakobsen C. (A),
13', Sigurjonsson A. ↓, Gunnarsson S. ↑,
14', Gunnarsson S. 🟨,
26', Kristjansson G. 🟨,
32', Atlason E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
51', 1 - 1, Matthiasson D. ⚽,
54', Gislason F. ↓, Affi Y. ↑,
54', Ragnarsson R. ↓, Kristjansson I. ↑,
63', 1 - 2, Atlason E. ⚽,
68', Matthiasson D. ↓, Brink H. O. ↑,
68', Magnusson A. ↓, Runarsson H. ↑,
68', Hlynsson A. ↓, Haugland S. ↑,
74', Olafsson A. 🟨,
78', Jakobsen C. 🟥,
85', Ingason B. ↓, Thorisson T. ↑,
86', Kristjansson G. ↓, Bjornsson A. ↑,
87', Orvarsson O. 🟨,
90+1', 1 - 3, Brink H. O. ⚽, Bjornsson A. (A),
90+4', Nokkvason G. ↓, Hauksson B. ↑,
90+4', Atlason E. ↓, Saemundsson B. ↑,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 10 in the zone Besta deild karla (Relegation Group: ) and 9 in the zone Besta deild karla (Relegation Group: ))

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Thor won 1.

Thor has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Stjarnan is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Stjarnan may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Stjarnan has had a series of home games.

Stjarnan will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Thor won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:15. (average 1.3:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Thor won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 1.3:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Thor Akureyri
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
22.05.26	Keflavík - Thor Akureyri	1:0 ✺
17.05.26	Thor Akureyri - Akraness	1:2 ✺
08.05.26	Vikingur Reykjavik - Thor Akureyri	6:0 ✺
02.05.26	Thor Akureyri - KA Akureyri	0:1 ✺
27.04.26	Breiðablik - Thor Akureyri	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- UMF Stjarnan
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
26.05.26	Stjarnan - Vikingur Reykjavik	1:3 ✺
22.05.26	Stjarnan - Fram	0:1 ✺
17.05.26	Keflavík - Stjarnan	1:1 ✺
Icelandic Cup
13.05.26	Stjarnan - KR Reykjavík	2:1 ✺
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
08.05.26	Stjarnan - KR Reykjavík	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Icelandic Cup
12.06.24	Thor Akureyri - Stjarnan	0:1
Icelandic League Cup
19.02.22	Thor Akureyri - Stjarnan	1:1
09.03.19	Thor Akureyri - Stjarnan	2:1
Icelandic Cup
25.06.18	Thor Akureyri - Stjarnan	1:2 ET
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
11.08.14	Stjarnan - Thor Akureyri	2:1
18.05.14	Thor Akureyri - Stjarnan	3:4
12.09.13	Stjarnan - Thor Akureyri	3:1

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