Match Info

Super League - Round 17

Date: 4 July 2026, Saturday

Location: Olympic Sports Center Stadium (Tianjin)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Tianjin Jinmen Tiger		Shenzhen Peng City

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.40	3.20	Watch
	2.20	3.20	3.00
	2.23	3.30	3.05	Watch
	2.30	3.50	3.36
	2.15	3.49	3.22	Watch
	2.25	3.25	3.25
	2.18	3.38	3.18	Watch
	2.22	3.40	3.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↑ (2.17)	3.37 ↓ (3.6)	3.18 ↑ (3.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
42.5%

Draw
27.9%

Shenzhen Peng City
29.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43%

25.9%

31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7%

25.7%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Shenzhen Peng City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shenzhen Peng City than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	11.1%	0%

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - Shenzhen Peng City Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tianjin Jinmen Tiger (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Tianjin Jinmen Tiger will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Yan Bingliang (G) 11. Xie Weijun 18. Cordoba A. 4. Yang Fan 29. Ba Dun (C) 10. Salvador C. 14. Huang Jiahui 31. Sun Ming-Him 9. Quiles A. 8. Xadas 7. Guilherme Schettine	13. Peng Peng (G) 23. Yang Yiming 5. Hu Ruibao 3. Gabriel Xavier 4. Jiang Zhipeng 31. Owusu-Sekyere D. 8. Chow T. 12. Zhang Xiaobin 36. Kartsev E. 10. Dai Wai-Tsun 7. Wesley Moraes (C)
Substitutes
28. Guo Hao 20. Ji Shengpan 27. Li S. 38. Li S. 16. Liu Shuai 22. Li Yongjia 21. Qi Yuxi (G) 30. Wang Qiuming 3. Wang Zhenghao 17. Wu Xinghan 26. Zhang Haoran (G)	1. Ji J. (G) 14. Li Long 17. Li Ning 46. Shen H. 2. Tian Yifan 56. Wang Yuheng 35. Wei Minzhe (G) 29. Xia Dalong 54. Yao J. 6. Yao Junsheng 22. Zhang Yujie
Coaches
Yu Genwei	Neilson R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
20', Dai Wai-Tsun ↓, Li Long ↑,
26', 1 - 0, Guilherme Schettine ⚽, Ba Dun (A),
44', Xie Weijun 🟨,
45+1', Gabriel Xavier 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
64', Owusu-Sekyere D. 🟨,
88', Hu Ruibao 🟨,
90', Salvador C. ↓, Ji Shengpan ↑,
90+2', Xadas 🟨,
90+5', 2 - 0, Xadas ⚽,
90+7', 3 - 0, Ji Shengpan ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ League One and 9).

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Shenzhen Peng City is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Tianjin Jinmen Tiger: Wang Xianjun (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Shenzhen Peng City: Xuan Z. (Red Card)

There are questionable in Shenzhen Peng City: Benkovic F. (Inactive)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tianjin Jinmen Tiger won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:2. (average 1.6:0.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Tianjin Jinmen Tiger won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 2:0).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Shenzhen Xinpengcheng	26	8	4	14	34:45	-11	28
13	Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	26	9	8	9	36:32	4	25

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
Chinese Super League
27.06.26	Chongqing Tongliang Long - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	1:0 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
19.06.26	Lanzhou Longyuan - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	2:1 penalties ✺
Chinese Super League
31.05.26	Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - Dalian Young Boy	1:0 ✺
23.05.26	Shanghai Port - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	1:1 ✺
19.05.26	Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - Henan Songshan Longmen	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LLWTL
- Shenzhen Peng City
Chinese Super League
27.06.26	Shenzhen Peng City - Chengdu Rongcheng	2:3 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
19.06.26	Shenzhen Juniors - Shenzhen Peng City	1:3 ✺
Chinese Super League
30.05.26	Shenzhen Peng City - Qingdao Hainiu	3:2 ✺
24.05.26	Shanghai Shenhua - Shenzhen Peng City	1:2 ✺
19.05.26	Shenzhen Peng City - Dalian Young Boy	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 LWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Super League
14.03.26	Shenzhen Peng City - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	1:0
21.09.25	Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - Shenzhen Peng City	1:0
01.05.25	Shenzhen Peng City - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	1:0
29.06.24	Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - Shenzhen Peng City	3:0
10.03.24	Shenzhen Peng City - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	0:4

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