Match Info

Super League - Round 16

Date: 27 June 2026, Saturday

Location: Tongliang Long Stadium (Chongqing)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu


	Chongqing Tongliang Long		Tianjin Jinmen Tiger

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.1	3.8	Watch
	2.00	3.00	3.60
	2.08	3.05	3.65	Watch
	2.14	3.08	4.06
	2.12	3.08	3.74	Watch
	2.11	3	4
	2.06	3.05	3.93	Watch
	2.11	3.1	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↓ (2.13)	3.06 ↓ (3.17)	3.82 ↑ (3.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chongqing Tongliang Long
44.8%

Draw
30.6%

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
24.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.8%

29.4%

26.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4%

29%

26.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chongqing Tongliang Long has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chongqing Tongliang Long than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Chongqing Tongliang Long - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Chongqing will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Chongqing: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Yao Haoyang (G) 24. Liu Mingshi 33. Lucao 32. Ngadeu M. 3. Zhang Yingkai 26. He Xiaoqiang 9. Cimpanu G. 10. Amadou I. 16. Zhang Zhixiong 7. Xiang Yuwang (C) 11. Dimata L.	25. Yan Bingliang (G) 29. Ba Dun (C) 4. Yang Fan 18. Cordoba A. 14. Huang Jiahui 31. Sun Ming-Him 9. Quiles A. 10. Salvador C. 24. Chen Zhexuan 8. Xadas 7. Guilherme Schettine
Substitutes
15. Chen Chunxin 19. Du Yuezheng 5. Huang X. 6. Jin Pengxiang 18. Liang Weipeng 21. Liu Jiale 38. Ruan Qilong 37. Wei Suowei 27. Wu Yongqiang 31. Wu Zitong (G) 25. Yerzat Yerjet (G) 4. Yue Ruijie	28. Guo Hao 20. Ji Shengpan 19. Liu J. 22. Li Yongjia 21. Qi Yuxi (G) 30. Wang Qiuming 6. Wang Xianjun 3. Wang Zhenghao 17. Wu Xinghan 11. Xie Weijun 26. Zhang Haoran (G)
Coaches
Liu Jianye	Yu Genwei

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
42', Ba Dun 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Chen Zhexuan ↓, Wang Xianjun ↑,
49', 1 - 0, Dimata L. ⚽, He Xiaoqiang (A),
66', Cimpanu G. ↓, Chen Chunxin ↑,
71', Ba Dun ↓, Wu Xinghan ↑,
77', Huang Jiahui ↓, Wang Qiuming ↑,
79', Xiang Yuwang ↓, Liang Weipeng ↑,
79', Liu Mingshi ↓, Ruan Qilong ↑,
85', Salvador C. ↓, Guo Hao ↑,
85', Sun Ming-Him ↓, Ji Shengpan ↑,
89', Dimata L. ↓, Du Yuezheng ↑,
89', He Xiaoqiang ↓, Wei Suowei ↑,
90+6', Wang Xianjun 🟨,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ League One).

In recent matches, Chongqing has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Chongqing may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Chongqing is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Tianjin Jinmen Tiger: Grau J. (Yellow Cards) Yang Fan (Injury)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Chongqing won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Chongqing Tonglianglong	26	7	10	9	27:32	-5	31
13	Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	26	9	8	9	36:32	4	25

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chongqing Tongliang Long
Chinese FA Cup
20.06.26	Ningbo Professional - Chongqing Tongliang Long	0:2 ✺
Chinese Super League
30.05.26	Chongqing Tongliang Long - Beijing Guoan	2:3 ✺
24.05.26	Qingdao Hainiu - Chongqing Tongliang Long	0:1 ✺
20.05.26	Chongqing Tongliang Long - Yunnan Yukun	0:0 ✺
16.05.26	Shandong Taishan - Chongqing Tongliang Long	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WLWTL
- Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
Chinese FA Cup
19.06.26	Lanzhou Longyuan - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	2:1 penalties ✺
Chinese Super League
31.05.26	Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - Dalian Young Boy	1:0 ✺
23.05.26	Shanghai Port - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	1:1 ✺
19.05.26	Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - Henan Songshan Longmen	1:2 ✺
15.05.26	Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - Chengdu Rongcheng	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Super League
07.03.26	Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - Chongqing Tongliang Long	0:0

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