Match Info

Date: 27 February 2022, Sunday


	Ticino		Novara

	1	X	2
	4.8	3.6	1.57
	5.4	3.5	1.54
	5.07	3.33	1.52
	5.8	3.5	1.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.27 ↑ (4.02)	3.48 ↓ (3.9)	1.55 ↓ (1.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ticino
16.9%

Draw
25.6%

Novara
57.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.8%

23.5%

53.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.6%

19.2%

66%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ticino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ticino's form might have worsened.

Novara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ticino than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Novara than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Novara could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ticino - Novara Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Play Out and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Recent matches Ticino is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Novara is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Novara could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Novara is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Ticino won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RG Ticino
Italian Serie D - Group A
23.02.22	Ticino - Derthona	0:2 ✺
20.02.22	Fossano - Ticino	4:1 ✺
16.02.22	Ticino - Lavagnese	2:0 ✺
12.02.22	PDHAE - Ticino	3:1 ✺
06.02.22	Ticino - Saluzzo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LLWLW
- Novara Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group A
20.02.22	Novara - Ligorna	0:1 ✺
16.02.22	Bra - Novara	1:1 ✺
13.02.22	Novara - Imperia	2:1 ✺
06.02.22	Varese - Novara	0:1 ✺
02.02.22	Novara - Borgosesia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group A
20.10.21	Novara - Ticino	3:1

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