Match Info

ARGENTINA: COPA DE LA LIGA PROFESIONAL - ROUND 10

Date: 11 March 2024, Monday

Location: Estadio José Dellagiovanna (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Tello F. (Arg)


	Tigre		Lanús

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.1	2.25	Watch
	3.6	2.95	2.2
	3.65	3.05	2.15	Watch
	4.01	3.04	2.2
	4.01	3.04	2.2
	3.52	3.03	2.2
	3.5	3	2.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.7 ↓ (3.73)	3.03 ↓ (3.1)	2.2 ↑ (2.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tigre
25.6%

Draw
31.3%

Lanús
43.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25%

30.2%

44.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.6%

29.7%

45.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tigre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Lanús has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tigre than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lanús than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.5%	9.5%	81%

Tigre - Lanús Predictions

Users Predictions: Lanús will win (17 of 21 users predict this - 80.95%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.15% – 97.75%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Tagliamonte M. (G) 4. Ortega M. 6. Nardelli G. 14. Giacopuzzi F. 35. Genez N. 24. Garay M. 5. Cardozo A. (C) 11. Forclaz E. 10. Maroni G. 18. Armoa B. 33. Flores G.	42. Acosta L. (G) 24. Caceres J. 2. Munoz E. 6. Luciatti B. 22. Soler Barreto J. C. 35. Aguirre B. (C) 15. Loaiza R. 5. Pena Biafore F. 10. Marcelino Moreno 21. Lotti A. 9. Bou W.
Substitutes
2. Aguirre A. 30. Aleman B. 8. Caceres M. 29. Contin N. 19. Espindola M. 20. Galvan T. 3. Lecanda T. 23. Londono F. 21. Medina S. 25. Moreno V. 15. Rodriguez W. 12. Zenobio F. T. (G)	1. Aguerre A. (G) 40. Alvarez F. 8. Boggio L. 20. Cabrera B. 13. Canale Dominguez J. 23. Dominguez N. 19. Gonzalez M. 3. Morgantini N. 4. Perez G. 17. Rodriguez A. 27. Torres J. 16. Watson F. N.
Coaches
Gorosito N.	Zielinski R.

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa de la Liga Profesional (Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Tigre won 2.

Recent matches Tigre is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Lanús is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Lanús could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Lanús will have a mini benefit in this match.

There will not play in Tigre: Lomonaco K. (Injury) Protti I. (Injury) Sanchez J. (Injury)

There will not play in Lanús: Acosta L. (Injury) Diaz L. (Injury) Dominguez N. (Injury)

Last 16 head-to-head matches Tigre won 3 matches, drawn 9 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 12-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Tigre won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Tigre
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
07.03.24	Newells Old Boys - Tigre	1:0 ✺
01.03.24	Tigre - Central Córdoba	1:0 ✺
26.02.24	Vélez Sársfield - Tigre	2:2 ✺
17.02.24	San Lorenzo - Tigre	2:0 ✺
14.02.24	Tigre - Defensa y Justicia	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LWTLL
- CA Lanús
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
07.03.24	Lanús - Central Córdoba	0:1 ✺
03.03.24	Defensa y Justicia - Lanús	0:4 ✺
25.02.24	Lanús - Banfield	1:1 ✺
18.02.24	Lanús - Boca Juniors	2:1 ✺
14.02.24	Sarmiento de Junín - Lanús	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 LWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
26.10.23	Lanús - Tigre	2:1
Argentinian Liga Profesional
01.04.23	Tigre - Lanús	2:1
03.09.22	Lanús - Tigre	1:2
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
28.02.22	Lanús - Tigre	0:0
Argentinian Liga Profesional
26.10.18	Tigre - Lanús	1:1
06.05.18	Tigre - Lanús	0:0
30.10.16	Lanús - Tigre	1:1

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