Match Info

Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 11

Date: 3 October 2025, Friday

Location: Estadio José Dellagiovanna (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Penel A. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN Premium
China	K-Ball
Mexico	Fanatiz
Usa	Fanatiz


	Tigre		Defensa y Justicia

	1	X	2
	2.25	3	3.5	Watch
	2.35	2.87	3.3
	2.3	2.88	3.5	Watch
	2.36	2.92	3.73
	2.41	2.83	3.40	Watch
	2.26	3.04	3.73	Watch
	2.27	2.87	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↑ (2.23)	2.92 ↓ (3.14)	3.52 ↑ (3.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tigre
40.8%

Draw
32.4%

Defensa y Justicia
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.1%

29.9%

28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4%

29%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tigre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Defensa y Justicia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tigre than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensa y Justicia than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	80%	20%

Tigre - Defensa y Justicia Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Defensa y Justicia will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Zenobio F. T. (G) 17. Soto G. 2. Laso J. 20. Barrionuevo A. 6. Sosa D. 10. Saralegui J. 22. Lopez J. 30. Elias J. 33. Cabrera E. 29. Russo I. 9. Romero D.	25. Bologna E. (G) 14. Cannavo E. 6. Ferreira L. 29. Fernandez D. 34. Delgado R. 3. Soto A. 5. Gutierrez K. 20. Gonzalez L. 10. Molinas A. 24. Gutierrez J. 7. Osorio A.
Substitutes
42. Arias R. 18. Armoa B. 11. Fertoli H. 5. Leyes B. 32. Martinez B. 21. Medina S. 25. Moreno V. 19. Oviedo A. 23. Pineiro G. 38. Ramponi J. 7. Rivero S. G. 26. Sultani T. (G)	23. Aguiar M. 28. Aguilera E. 19. Barbona D. 11. Lenny Lobato 2. Lucero S. 1. Masuero F. (G) 21. Miranda M. 38. Rubio T. 35. Schamine B. 22. Sosa S. 13. Souto L. 15. Stefanelli N.
Coaches
Dabove D.	Soso M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
17', Lopez J. 🟨,
19', Russo I. 🟨,
26', 1 - 0, Lopez J. ⚽, Soto G. (A),
30', Laso J. 🟨,
45+1', 1 - 1, Gonzalez L. ⚽, Soto A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
63', Gonzalez L. ↓, Lenny Lobato ↑,
72', Lopez J. ↓, Oviedo A. ↑,
72', Romero D. ↓, Pineiro G. ↑,
77', Laso J. 🟨,
79', Russo I. ↓, Arias R. ↑,
84', Fernandez D. ↓, Barbona D. ↑,
85', Saralegui J. ↓, Armoa B. ↑,
85', Cabrera E. ↓, Medina S. ↑,
90+4', Barbona D. 🟨,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tigre won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Tigre will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Tigre: Banegas N. (Knee Injury) Cardona T. (Hamstring Injury) Garay M. (Knee Injury) Gonzalez S. (Knee Injury) Marchese A. (Muscle Injury) Ortega M. (Coach's decision)

There will not play in Defensa y Justicia: Hausch A. (Muscle Injury) Molinas A. (Muscle Injury) Perez C. (Knee Injury) Sosa M. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Tigre: Alvarez F. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Tigre won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 7:16. (average 0.5:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Tigre won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:9. (average 0.5:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Defensa y Justicia - the odds 3.35 are the expected chance of winning is 28.03%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Tigre
Argentinian Liga Profesional
26.09.25	Central Córdoba - Tigre	0:1 ✺
21.09.25	Tigre - Aldosivi	2:0 ✺
14.09.25	Tigre - Talleres de Córdoba	0:0 ✺
Copa Argentina
05.09.25	Tigre - Independiente Rivadavia	1:3 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
29.08.25	Banfield - Tigre	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WWTLL
- Defensa y Justicia
Argentinian Liga Profesional
27.09.25	Defensa y Justicia - Boca Juniors	2:1 ✺
22.09.25	Estudiantes La Plata - Defensa y Justicia	1:0 ✺
14.09.25	Defensa y Justicia - Platense	1:2 ✺
31.08.25	Defensa y Justicia - Belgrano	2:1 ✺
22.08.25	Barracas Central - Defensa y Justicia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
28.03.25	Defensa y Justicia - Tigre	1:2
11.11.24	Tigre - Defensa y Justicia	0:4
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
14.02.24	Tigre - Defensa y Justicia	0:1
20.09.23	Defensa y Justicia - Tigre	2:0
Argentinian Liga Profesional
02.07.23	Defensa y Justicia - Tigre	1:0
13.08.22	Defensa y Justicia - Tigre	0:0
Copa Argentina
08.09.21	Defensa y Justicia - Tigre	0:1 penalties

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