Match Info

Liga Profesional - Clausura - Round 10

Date: 20 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio José Amalfitani (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Perez Y. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	AFA Play, HBO Max, TNT Sports
South-america	ViX Latin America
Usa	Fanatiz
Venezuela	Inter
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	Vélez Sársfield		Tigre

	1	X	2
	2.20	2.85	3.70
	2.25	2.95	3.40
	2.16	3.00	3.65	Watch
	2.30	3.00	3.85
	2.33	3.04	3.4
	2.25	2.95	3.75
	2.26	2.95	3.70	Watch
	2.24	2.95	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↑ (2.11)	2.96 ↑ (2.91)	3.63 ↓ (3.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vélez Sársfield
42%

Draw
31.9%

Tigre
26.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44%

31.8%

24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1%

31.7%

24.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vélez Sársfield has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Tigre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vélez Sársfield than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tigre than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	75%	0%

Vélez Sársfield - Tigre Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Vélez will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Marchiori T. (G) 4. Garcia J. 32. Silvero T. 16. Magallan L. 3. Gomez E. (C) 29. Aliendro R. 8. Robertone L. 11. Pellegrini M. 22. Lanzini M. 37. Policella J. 77. Martinez R.	12. Zenobio F. T. (C) 4. Moreno V. 20. Barrionuevo A. 32. Villalba J. 3. Banegas N. 10. Saralegui J. 5. Leyes B. 11. Serrago T. 28. Martinez P. 22. Lopez S. 29. Russo I.
Substitutes
39. Aguirre T. 35. Arias M. 5. Baeza C. 19. Cristaldo L. 18. Escobar S. 48. Feler L. 15. Godoy D. 47. Pereyra A. 46. Piedrabuena U. 30. Piola L. 23. Sanguinetti F. (G) 10. Valdes D.	24. Alvarez F. 30. Domina J. 18. Fernandez M. 8. Garay M. 27. Gonzalez S. 47. Lezcano A. 40. Minniti L. 26. Morales L. (G) 19. Oviedo A. 50. Peluffo I. 23. Requena G. 17. Soto G.
Coaches
Barros Schelotto G.	Dabove D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Martinez R. ⚽, Pellegrini M. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Banegas N. ↓, Alvarez F. ↑,
57', 1 - 1, Russo I. ⚽, Saralegui J. (A),
59', Moreno V. ↓, Garay M. ↑,
59', Serrago T. ↓, Domina J. ↑,
67', 2 - 1, Policella J. ⚽, Garcia J. (A),
68', Martinez P. ↓, Gonzalez S. ↑,
74', Lanzini M. ↓, Valdes D. ↑,
74', Policella J. ↓, Escobar S. ↑,
76', Robertone L. ↓, Feler L. ↑,
87', 2 - 2, Domina J. ⚽,
89', 3 - 2, Martinez R. ⚽, Valdes D. (A),
90+1', Martinez R. ↓, Godoy D. ↑,

Preview

An intriguing matchup between an upper-bracket team and a mid-table rival (ranked 4th in the Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Clausura ~ Playoffs1/8~finals) and 10th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vélez won 2.

In recent outings, Vélez has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Tigre is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Tigre may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Vélez holding a narrow advantage.

Confirmed absences for Vélez: Gordon J. (Knee Injury) Valdes D. (Inactive).

Confirmed absences for Tigre: Arias R. (Knee Injury) Dubersarsky N. (Inactive) Laso J. (Inactive) Martinez P. (Inactive) Rivero S. G. (Knee Injury).

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Vélez has recorded 9 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 26:24 (averaging 1.3:1.2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Vélez against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with 14:12 goals (averaging 1.6:1.3 per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Tigre - the odds 3.83 are the expected chance of winning is 24.21%, but this team recently wins 58% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vélez Sársfield
Argentinian Liga Profesional
11.09.26	Newells Old Boys - Vélez Sársfield	1:1 ✺
05.09.26	Vélez Sársfield - Estudiantes La Plata	1:0 ✺
Copa Argentina
02.09.26	Vélez Sársfield - Boca Juniors	0:1 penalties ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
29.08.26	Deportivo Riestra - Vélez Sársfield	1:1 ✺
23.08.26	River Plate - Vélez Sársfield	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 TWLTT
- CA Tigre
Argentinian Liga Profesional
13.09.26	Tigre - Rosario Central	0:1 ✺
05.09.26	Gimnasia La Plata - Tigre	2:1 ✺
31.08.26	Tigre - Barracas Central	0:0 ✺
24.08.26	Tigre - Central Córdoba	2:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
19.08.26	Montevideo City Torque - Tigre	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
10.03.26	Tigre - Vélez Sársfield	1:1
14.07.25	Vélez Sársfield - Tigre	2:1
23.01.25	Tigre - Vélez Sársfield	3:0
07.11.24	Vélez Sársfield - Tigre	1:0
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
26.02.24	Vélez Sársfield - Tigre	2:2
29.09.23	Tigre - Vélez Sársfield	0:0
Argentinian Liga Profesional
22.06.23	Tigre - Vélez Sársfield	2:1

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