Match Info

Primera B - Apertura - Round 14

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Mosquera (Mosquera)

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
Usa	Fanatiz


	Real Cundinamarca		Tigres

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.22	2.98	3.25	Watch
	2.32	3	3.55
	2.12	3.13	3.59	Watch
	2.25	2.75	3.1
	2.26	3.01	3.41	Watch
	2.28	2.92	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↓ (2.28)	2.97 ↑ (2.92)	3.34 ↑ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Cundinamarca
41.2%

Draw
31.2%

Tigres
27.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.9%

31.2%

28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.5%

31.6%

28.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Cundinamarca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Tigres has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Cundinamarca than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tigres than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	66.7%	33.3%

Real Cundinamarca - Tigres Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Tigres will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Valencia M. (G) 20. Acosta O. 27. Amaya J. 19. Cortes J. 17. Cuellar K. 8. Gomez C. 13. Hinestroza J. 3. Moreno S. 28. Rios C. 2. Suaza J. (C) 11. Valencia Y.	12. Brid Arroyo V. M. (G) 9. Aragon O. 3. Cano J. 13. Cuadros A. 2. Florez S. 8. Mejia B. 10. Mosquera K. 11. Palacios L. 27. Preciado O. (C) 15. Quinones J. 18. Viafara D.
Substitutes
21. Alba J. 22. De zubiria P. 40. Giraldo J. (G) 24. Mendoza J. 9. Negrete C. 18. Obregon L. 36. Ortegon M. 23. Vidal K. 14. Zavala K.	17. Alvarez M. 19. Arrechea E. 23. Barbosa D. 20. Ibarra C. 21. Lopera J. 1. Lopez Larrota K. E. (G) 29. Rativa D. 14. Ruiz J. 6. Valbuena S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
25', 0 - 1, Quinones J. ⚽,
31', 0 - 2, Cano J. ⚽,
35', Florez S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Hinestroza J. ↓, Vidal K. ↑,
46', Florez S. ↓, Lopera J. ↑,
54', Valencia Y. ↓, Zavala K. ↑,
57', Cuadros A. 🟨,
60', Cuadros A. ↓, Valbuena S. ↑,
68', Gomez C. ↓, Negrete C. ↑,
69', Mosquera K. ↓, Ibarra C. ↑,
75', Valbuena S. 🟨,
77', Amaya J. ↓, de Zubiria P. ↑,
77', Cuellar K. ↓, Obregon L. ↑,
78', Obregon L. 🟨,
80', Mejia B. 🟨,
90+2', Aragon O. ↓, Ruiz J. ↑,
90+2', Mejia B. ↓, Alvarez M. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: )).

Recent performances by Real Cundinamarca have been up and down (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Tigres is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Real Cundinamarca is a strong favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Cundinamarca won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:2. (average 1.2:0.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Real Cundinamarca won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 1.3:0.3).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Real Cundinamarca	11	7	2	2	19:10	9	23
3	Tigres	11	6	3	2	13:4	9	21

Last Results with these Odds

Tigres - the odds 3.15 are the expected chance of winning is 28.9%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Cundinamarca
Colombian Primera B
01.04.26	Bogotá - Real Cundinamarca	2:2 ✺
25.03.26	Real Cundinamarca - Atlético Cali	1:2 ✺
21.03.26	Real Cundinamarca - Barranquilla	2:2 ✺
16.03.26	Deportes Quindío - Real Cundinamarca	0:0 ✺
11.03.26	Unión Magdalena - Real Cundinamarca	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 TLTTT
- Tigres FC
Colombian Primera B
31.03.26	Tigres - Barranquilla	3:1 ✺
26.03.26	Internacional de Palmira - Tigres	2:1 ✺
21.03.26	Real Santander - Tigres	1:1 ✺
16.03.26	Tigres - Atlético Cali	2:1 ✺
11.03.26	Bogotá - Tigres	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera B
13.09.25	Tigres - Real Cundinamarca	0:2
08.04.25	Real Cundinamarca - Tigres	1:1
22.08.24	Real Cundinamarca - Tigres	1:0
02.03.24	Tigres - Real Cundinamarca	1:0
24.08.23	Real Cundinamarca - Tigres	2:0

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