Match Info

Liga MX Women - Apertura - Round 12

Date: 25 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Universitario (San Nicolas de los Garza) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Mexico	18:06	FOX One, Tubi TV
Usa	20:06	FOX Deportes, FOX Deportes


	Tigres UANL		Monterrey

	1	X	2
	2.10	3.50	2.80
	1.82	3.5	3.4
	1.89	3.94	3.67
	1.86	3.96	3.56	Watch
	1.82	3.7	3.8
	1.88	3.91	3.55
	1.85	3.75	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↓ (2.65)	3.75 ↑ (3.25)	3.45 ↑ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tigres UANL
48.7%

Draw
24.5%

Monterrey
26.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

33.7%

27.5%

38.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.2%

27.9%

38.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tigres UANL has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tigres UANL's performance.

Monterrey has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Monterrey might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tigres UANL than the current prediction. (-14.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tigres UANL that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monterrey than the current prediction. (+11.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Monterrey could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Tigres UANL - Monterrey Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Gonzalez I. (G) 17. Enciso S. 20. Mariza 6. Lopez J. 22. Rodriguez A. 8. Delgado A. 14. Delgadillo M. 24. Reyes M. 9. Mayor S. (C) 7. Sanchez M. 16. Kgatlana T.	28. Manrique P. (G) 5. Godinez A. 23. del Campo V. 3. Daiane 14. Lua A. 24. Restrepo M. 22. Garcia D. (C) 11. Vargas V. 30. Soto A. 17. Garcia L. 25. Chavarin A.
Substitutes
5. Asantewaa G. 18. Duah S. 30. Esquivel A. 2. Gonzalez M. 21. Izquierdo I. 11. Jheniffer 12. Ordonez D. 34. Ramirez D. 1. Santiago A. (G) 3. Villalpando M.	9. Bosch L. 33. Cazares C. 13. Godinez A. (G) 6. Martinez S. 2. Monroy D. 10. Perez N. 12. Seoposenwe J. 27. Servin F. 15. Simental S. 19. Thomas L.
Coaches
Martinez P.	Miquel A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
10', Vargas V. 🟨,
12', 0 - 1, Rodriguez A. (Own goal),
27', 0 - 2, Garcia L. ⚽,
30', Godinez A. 🟨,
44', Chavarin A. ↓, Seoposenwe J. ↑,
45+5', 1 - 2, Manrique P. (Own goal),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Enciso S. ↓, Duah S. ↑,
46', Delgadillo M. ↓, Ordonez D. ↑,
51', Reyes M. 🟨,
51', Garcia D. 🟨,
51', Mariza 🟨,
73', Vargas V. ↓, Bosch L. ↑,
73', Soto A. ↓, Martinez S. ↑,
74', 2 - 2, Kgatlana T. ⚽, Mayor S. (A),
81', Delgado A. ↓, Asantewaa G. ↑,
81', Reyes M. ↓, Izquierdo I. ↑,
82', Godinez A. 🟨,
87', del Campo V. 🟥,
88', Garcia L. ↓, Thomas L. ↑,
88', Restrepo M. ↓, Monroy D. ↑,
90+2', Mayor S. ↓, Ramirez D. ↑,

Preview

A clash between two contenders competing at the top of the table (ranked 2nd in the Promotion - Liga MX Women Apertura - Playoffs and 1st in the Promotion - Liga MX Women Apertura - Playoffs).

Tigres is Qualified for Liga MX Women (Apertura ~ Play Offs ).

Monterrey is Qualified for Liga MX Women (Apertura ~ Play Offs ).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tigres won 3.

Tigres has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Monterrey is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

Tigres may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Tigres has recorded 8 wins, 10 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 33:18 (averaging 1.7:0.9 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Tigres against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss, with 19:9 goals (averaging 1.9:0.9 per game).

Outrights of Mexican Liga MX Women for now

Monterrey W: 20.24% Tigres UANL W: 16.87%

Last Results with these Odds

Monterrey - the odds 2.3 are the expected chance of winning is 38.83%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tigres UANL Women
Mexican Liga MX Women
18.10.26	Tigres UANL - Querétaro	2:0 ✺
02.10.26	UNAM - Tigres UANL	1:3 ✺
27.09.26	Tigres UANL - Atlético San Luis	1:1 ✺
21.09.26	Toluca - Tigres UANL	2:7 ✺
13.09.26	Club America - Tigres UANL	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWTWL
- CF Monterrey Women
Mexican Liga MX Women
17.10.26	Monterrey - Cruz Azul	1:0 ✺
02.10.26	Monterrey - Club America	4:3 ✺
27.09.26	Puebla - Monterrey	1:2 ✺
18.09.26	Monterrey - Necaxa	10:0 ✺
12.09.26	Chivas Guadalajara - Monterrey	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga MX Women
24.04.26	Monterrey - Tigres UANL	0:3
07.09.25	Tigres UANL - Monterrey	4:0
28.04.25	Monterrey - Tigres UANL	1:1
25.04.25	Tigres UANL - Monterrey	1:1
14.02.25	Monterrey - Tigres UANL	1:5
25.11.24	Monterrey - Tigres UANL	4:2 penalties
22.11.24	Tigres UANL - Monterrey	1:0

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