The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Monterrey 50%
Draw 25.4%
Cruz Azul 24.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.3%
27.3%
36.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.6%
26.8%
37%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Monterrey has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Monterrey's performance.
Cruz Azul has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cruz Azul might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monterrey than the current prediction. (-14.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Monterrey that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cruz Azul than the current prediction. (+12.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cruz Azul could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Monterrey - Cruz Azul Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
28. Manrique P. (G) 7. Burkenroad C. 14. Calderon A. 33. Cazares C. 23. del Campo V. 22. Garcia D. (C) 17. Garcia L. 2. Monroy D. 24. Restrepo M. 30. Soto A. 11. Vargas V.
12. Godinez A. (G) 7. Angeles L. (C) 23. Gutierrez I. 29. Kanu U. 14. Leon M. 8. Lomeli A. 9. Martinez A. 11. Mendoza D. 2. Miranda V. 3. Robe L. 19. Valdez V.
Substitutes
13. Bernal K. 9. Gielnik E. 6. Martinez L. 10. Perez N. 3. Sanchez T. 12. Seoposenwe J. 27. Servin F. 15. Simental S. 25. Tajonar P. (G) 18. Veloz A.
18. Abam M. 13. Calderon D. 33. Chavarin A. 28. Garcia A. 15. Grimaldo N. 16. Martinez L. 17. Montano Osuna M. C. 6. Rodriguez L. 26. Torres A. 1. Villeda M. (G)
Coaches
Miquel A.
del Real I.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
25', 1 - 0, Restrepo M. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
54', 2 - 0, Garcia L. ⚽,
57', 3 - 0, Garcia L. ⚽,
66', 4 - 0, Garcia L. ⚽,
69', 🟨,
70', Garcia L. ↓, Gielnik E. ↑,
70', Garcia D. ↓, Martinez L. ↑,
71', 🟨,
75', Monroy D. ↓, Simental S. ↑,
82', 🟨,
Preview
First leg result: 1-1. Second leg.
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX Women (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX Women (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Monterrey won 3.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Monterrey may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Monterrey is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Monterrey won 11 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 34:11. (average 2.6:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Monterrey won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 19:2. (average 3.2:0.3).
Mexico
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Manrique P. (G) 
del Campo V. 
Garcia L. 
Restrepo M. 
Kanu U. 
Leon M. 
Martinez A. 
Robe L. 
Gielnik E. 
Seoposenwe J. 
Veloz A. 
Abam M. 
Miquel A. 
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