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Current Win Probability
UNAM 24.8%
Draw 23.2%
Tigres UANL 52%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
30.9%
25.2%
43.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31%
25.3%
43.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
UNAM has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that UNAM's form might have worsened.
Tigres UANL has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tigres UANL's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for UNAM than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for UNAM, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tigres UANL than the current prediction. (-8.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tigres UANL, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
UNAM - Tigres UANL Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Toledo W. (G) 16. Guerrero A. 3. Mendoza A. 17. Boakye P. 5. Rios X. 8. Pereira A. (C) 31. Montero C. 9. Chinchilla P. 11. Hernandez M. 10. Torres C. 7. Ribeiro S.
23. Gonzalez I. (G) 17. Enciso S. 20. Mariza 6. Lopez J. 22. Rodriguez A. 24. Reyes M. 8. Delgado A. 16. Kgatlana T. 9. Mayor S. (C) 7. Sanchez M. 12. Ordonez D.
Substitutes
13. Chavero P. 15. Gielnik E. 12. Hix A. 26. Huerta A. 20. Lopez J. (G) 2. Ramirez K. 4. Sainz E.
5. Asantewaa G. 10. Castellanos D. 33. De Avila H. (G) 14. Delgadillo M. 18. Duah S. 30. Esquivel A. 2. Gonzalez M. 21. Izquierdo I. 11. Jheniffer 3. Villalpando M.
Coaches
Medina R.
Martinez P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
17', 0 - 1, Mariza ⚽, Sanchez M. (A),
42', 0 - 2, Reyes M. ⚽, Kgatlana T. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
53', 0 - 3, Ordonez D. (Penalty Awarded),
60', Hernandez M. ↓, Hix A. ↑,
60', Hix A. 🟨,
63', Pereira A. 🟥,
65', Medina R. 🟨,
66', Ordonez D. ↓, Castellanos D. ↑,
70', Torres C. ↓, Huerta A. ↑,
78', Ribeiro S. ↓, Gielnik E. ↑,
78', Rios X. ↓, Sainz E. ↑,
79', Guerrero A. ↓, Chavero P. ↑,
79', Mayor S. ↓, Jheniffer ↑,
79', Kgatlana T. ↓, Delgadillo M. ↑,
88', Enciso S. ↓, Gonzalez M. ↑,
88', Reyes M. ↓, Asantewaa G. ↑,
90+6', Delgadillo M. 🟨,
90+7', Rodriguez A. 🟨,
90+9', 1 - 3, Chinchilla P. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
A direct battle for position between neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 4th in the Promotion - Liga MX Women Apertura - Playoffs and 2nd in the Promotion - Liga MX Women Apertura - Playoffs).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, UNAM won 1.
UNAM has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Tigres shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Bookmakers give the edge to Tigres for this game.
In the last 17 head-to-head meetings, UNAM has recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 14 losses, with a goal aggregate of 10:47 (averaging 0.6:2.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for UNAM against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 6 losses, with 5:18 goals (averaging 0.6:2.3 per game).
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Toledo W. (G) 
Boakye P. 
Pereira A. (C) 
Chinchilla P. 
Torres C. 
Ribeiro S. 
Mariza 
Kgatlana T. 
Gielnik E. 
Hix A. 
Castellanos D. 
Izquierdo I. 
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