Match Info

Liga MX U21 - Clausura - Round 14

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday


	Tigres UANL U21		Guadalajara Chivas U21

	1	X	2
	2.35	3	2.82
	2.36	3.22	2.84
	2.38	3.31	2.79
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↓ (2.39)	3.18 ↓ (3.2)	2.82 ↑ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tigres UANL U21
38.7%

Draw
28.8%

Guadalajara Chivas U21
32.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

38.3%

28.5%

33.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.7%

29.6%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tigres UANL U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Guadalajara Chivas U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tigres UANL U21 than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guadalajara Chivas U21 than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Tigres UANL U21 - Guadalajara Chivas U21 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
74', 1 - 0, ⚽,
76', 1 - 1, ⚽,
Penalties (3 - 5)
1, (Penalty Awarded),
2, (Penalty Awarded),
1, (Penalty Awarded),
3, (Penalty Awarded),
2, (Penalty Awarded),
4, (Penalty Awarded),
3, (Penalty Awarded),
5, (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

First leg result: 1-1. Aggregate: 3-3. 2nd leg.

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 14 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX U21 (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Guadalajara U21 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Tigres UANL U21 won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 1.7:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Tigres UANL U21 won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
4	Guadalajara Chivas U21	12	5	2	2	3	20:19	21
13	Tigres UANL U21	13	4	1	2	6	19:24	16

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tigres UANL U21
Mexican Liga MX U21
03.04.26	Tijuana U21 - Tigres UANL U21	0:0 ✺
22.03.26	Juárez U21 - Tigres UANL U21	2:1 ✺
15.03.26	Tigres UANL U21 - Querétaro U21	0:1 penalties ✺
07.03.26	Tigres UANL U21 - Monterrey U21	2:0 ✺
04.03.26	Puebla U21 - Tigres UANL U21	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 TLLWW
- Guadalajara Chivas U21
Mexican Liga MX U21
05.04.26	Guadalajara Chivas U21 - UNAM Pumas U21	3:4 penalties ✺
18.03.26	Guadalajara Chivas U21 - Club León U21	1:0 ✺
14.03.26	Guadalajara Chivas U21 - Santos Laguna U21	2:1 penalties ✺
07.03.26	Atlas U21 - Guadalajara Chivas U21	2:1 ✺
28.02.26	Toluca U21 - Guadalajara Chivas U21	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga MX U21
22.11.25	Tigres UANL U21 - Guadalajara Chivas U21	2:2
19.11.25	Guadalajara Chivas U21 - Tigres UANL U21	1:1
17.09.25	Guadalajara Chivas U21 - Tigres UANL U21	1:2

Tigres UANL U21 - Guadalajara Chivas U21: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide