Match Info

Cearense - Relegation Group - Round 3

Date: 9 February 2026, Monday

Location: Estadio Presidente Vargas (Fortaleza)


	Tirol		Maracanã

	1	X	2
	2.18	3.2	3.1	Watch
	2.12	3.06	3.27
	2.4	3.2	2.79	Watch
	2.15	2.9	3.1
	2.23	3.22	3.22
	2.14	3.33	3.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↓ (2.2)	3.15 ↑ (3.09)	3.14 ↓ (3.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tirol
41.6%

Draw
29.1%

Maracanã
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.9%

29.9%

28.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1%

26.4%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tirol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Maracanã has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tirol than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maracanã than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	50%	25%

Tirol - Maracanã Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Tirol will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Maracanã will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Rayr (G) 2. Dieguinho 14. Jairo (C) 16. Lucas Gomes 6. Taua 22. Ze Augusto 17. Sidin 8. Isaias 20. Janeudo 7. Rochinha 9. Wilkson	1. Douglas Dias (G) 3. Pedro da Dalto 13. Guilherme 4. Geilson Souza 6. Valdo Paraiba 26. Robert 10. Patuta 15. Lincoln 22. Vinicius Caninde 7. Luan Lucas 17. Joao Gabriel
Substitutes
5. Cesar Sampaio 15. Fernandinho 12. Jonh Wilquer (G) 3. Lima J. 11. Natan Baiano 13. Rodrigo Correia 19. Sales Lima R. 10. Topetti 4. Ytalo 21. Yuri	16. Guilha 19. Hugo V. 11. Luis Soares 9. Mateusao 2. Oliveira V. 32. Santos D. (G) 27. Shider 21. Victor Hugo 5. Welton Santana 14. Willian

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Patuta ⚽, Vinicius Caninde (A),
32', Janeudo (Penalty Awarded),
45+4', Isaias 🟨,
45+5', Valdo Paraiba 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Isaias ↓, Topetti ↑,
46', Taua ↓, Lima J. ↑,
46', Rochinha ↓, Yuri ↑,
54', Robert 🟨,
60', Lucas Gomes 🟨,
60', Patuta ↓, Oliveira V. ↑,
60', Janeudo ↓, Natan Baiano ↑,
61', 🟨,
62', Valdo Paraiba ↓, Guilha ↑,
66', 0 - 2, Luan Lucas ⚽, Vinicius Caninde (A),
68', Vinicius Caninde ↓, Welton Santana ↑,
68', Luan Lucas ↓, Luis Soares ↑,
77', Robert ↓, Mateusao ↑,
77', Dieguinho ↓, Sales Lima R. ↑,
81', Welton Santana 🟨,

Preview

Tirol has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Maracanã has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Recently, Tirol has had a series of away games.

Tirol will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Tirol won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Centro de Formação de Atletas do Tirol
Brazilian Campeonato Cearense
03.02.26	Maranguape - Tirol	3:2 ✺
29.01.26	Quixadá - Tirol	0:1 ✺
21.01.26	Tirol - Ceará	1:4 ✺
14.01.26	Iguatu - Tirol	0:0 ✺
11.01.26	Maranguape - Tirol	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LWLTL
- Maracanã EC
Brazilian Campeonato Cearense
04.02.26	Maracanã - Quixadá	2:3 ✺
28.01.26	Maranguape - Maracanã	1:1 ✺
18.01.26	Fortaleza - Maracanã	1:0 ✺
13.01.26	Maracanã - Horizonte	1:2 ✺
10.01.26	Quixadá - Maracanã	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Copa Fares Lopes
05.12.25	Maracanã - Tirol	2:1
26.10.25	Maracanã - Tirol	0:1
Brazilian Campeonato Cearense
26.01.25	Maracanã - Tirol	1:1

Tirol - Maracanã: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide