Match Info

Cearense - Round 4

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Presidente Vargas (Fortaleza)


	Fortaleza		Maracanã

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.11	7.31	19.63	Watch
	1.13	6	26
	1.09	6.95	22
	1.1	8.5	26
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.11 ↓ (1.26)	7.19 ↑ (5.1)	23.41 ↑ (10.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fortaleza
83.2%

Draw
12.8%

Maracanã
3.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

73%

18%

8.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fortaleza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fortaleza's performance.

Maracanã has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Fortaleza - Maracanã Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Brenno (G) 22. Mailton 2. Britez E. 6. Cardona T. 9. Lucero J. 20. Matheus Rossetto 88. Lucas Sasha 7. Pochettino T. 5. Pierre 10. Lucas Crispim 11. Moises	1. Douglas Dias (G) 3. Pedro da Dalto 13. Guilherme 4. Geilson Souza 16. Guilha 15. Lincoln 8. Thalison 11. Luis Soares 26. Robert 5. Welton Santana 17. Joao Gabriel
Substitutes
28. Kauan Rodrigues 99. Kayke 3. Luan Freitas 38. Lucca Prior 19. Luquinhas 15. Magrao (G) 29. Rodrigo 8. Ronald 25. Vinicius Silvestre (G)	12. Almeida V. (G) 19. Hugo V. 32. Santos D. (G) 27. Shider 6. Valdo Paraiba 21. Victor Hugo

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
25', 1 - 0, Guilherme (Own goal),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', Guilherme 🟨,
62', Luis Soares ↓, Victor Hugo ↑,
62', Matheus Rossetto ↓, Lucca Prior ↑,
62', Lucas Sasha ↓, Ronald ↑,
72', Welton Santana ↓, Hugo V. ↑,
73', Lucas Crispim ↓, Gazal ↑,
73', Pochettino T. ↓, Luquinhas ↑,
79', Guilha ↓, Valdo Paraiba ↑,
79', Thalison ↓, Shider ↑,
83', Bareiro A. ↓, Kayke ↑,
88', Lucca Prior 🟨,
90+3', 🟨,
90+3', Guilherme 🟨,

Preview

Fortaleza is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Maracanã's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Fortaleza may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Fortaleza is the obvious favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Fortaleza won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 1.7:0.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Fortaleza won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 2:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fortaleza EC
Brazilian Campeonato Cearense
15.01.26	Fortaleza - Quixadá	4:0 ✺
11.01.26	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Fortaleza	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
07.12.25	Botafogo RJ - Fortaleza	4:2 ✺
03.12.25	Fortaleza - Corinthians	2:1 ✺
30.11.25	Fortaleza - Atlético Mineiro	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WTLWW
- Maracanã EC
Brazilian Campeonato Cearense
13.01.26	Maracanã - Horizonte	1:2 ✺
10.01.26	Quixadá - Maracanã	1:0 ✺
06.01.26	Maracanã - Ferroviário Fortaleza	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa Fares Lopes
05.12.25	Maracanã - Tirol	2:1 ✺
29.11.25	Ceará B - Maracanã	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Cearense
30.01.25	Fortaleza - Maracanã	1:0
17.03.24	Fortaleza - Maracanã	3:0
10.03.24	Maracanã - Fortaleza	1:1

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