Match Info

PORTUGAL: Campeonato de Portugal - Group A - Round 9

Date: 10 November 2024, Sunday


	Tirsense		Atlético dos Arcos

	1	X	2
	1.49	3.7	5.75
	1.49	3.85	5.8
	1.49	3.73	6.13
				Watch
	1.49	3.82	6.02
	1.49	3.85	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.93)	3.79 ↑ (3.3)	5.9 ↑ (3.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tirsense
60.8%

Draw
23.9%

Atlético dos Arcos
15.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.1%

27.5%

25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50%

25.9%

23.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tirsense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tirsense's performance.

Atlético dos Arcos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlético dos Arcos might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tirsense than the current prediction. (-10.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tirsense that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético dos Arcos than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlético dos Arcos could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Tirsense - Atlético dos Arcos Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
33', 1 - 0, ⚽,
45+1', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
84', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tirsense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
03.11.24	Tirsense - Brito	3:1 ✺
26.10.24	Pevidem - Tirsense	3:2 ✺
Taça de Portugal
19.10.24	Caldas - Tirsense	1:2 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
06.10.24	Tirsense - Vianense	3:2 ✺
29.09.24	Vila Real - Tirsense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20 WLWWT
- Atlético dos Arcos
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
02.11.24	Atlético dos Arcos - Pevidem	2:0 ✺
27.10.24	Vianense - Atlético dos Arcos	1:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
20.10.24	Vila Real - Atlético dos Arcos	2:0 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
06.10.24	Atlético dos Arcos - Vila Real	0:2 ✺
29.09.24	Joane - Atlético dos Arcos	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WLLLT

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