Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - ROUND 17

Date: 5 February 2023, Sunday


	Tirsense		Vila Meã

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.1	3.9
	1.65	3.15	4.8
	1.94	3.02	4.43
	1.86	3.22	3.98
	1.9	3.2	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↑ (1.63)	3.14 ↓ (3.42)	4.18 ↓ (4.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tirsense
49.4%

Draw
28.9%

Vila Meã
21.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.4%

26.4%

18.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.7%

24.9%

17.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tirsense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tirsense's form might have worsened.

Vila Meã has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tirsense than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tirsense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vila Meã than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal (Play Offs) and 7).

Tirsense is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Vila Meã is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Tirsense is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Tirsense to win the game is with odds 1.66.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Tirsense won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Tirsense won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tirsense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
29.01.23	Vianense - Tirsense	0:1 ✺
22.01.23	Desportivo Monção - Tirsense	1:4 ✺
15.01.23	Tirsense - Vilar de Perdizes	0:2 ✺
08.01.23	Tirsense - Merelinense	2:1 ✺
18.12.22	Juventude de Pedras Salgadas - Tirsense	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WWLWW
- AC Vila Meã
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
29.01.23	Vila Meã - Vilar de Perdizes	2:2 ✺
22.01.23	Merelinense - Vila Meã	2:1 ✺
15.01.23	Vila Meã - Juventude de Pedras Salgadas	3:2 ✺
08.01.23	Vila Meã - Amarante	0:1 ✺
17.12.22	Bragança - Vila Meã	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 TLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
23.10.22	Vila Meã - Tirsense	0:1
19.12.21	Tirsense - Vila Meã	1:0
29.08.21	Vila Meã - Tirsense	0:1

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