Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A - Round 15

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Estádio Dr. José de Matos (Viana do Castelo)


	Vianense		Tirsense

	1	X	2
	2.45	2.98	2.72
	2.54	3.02	2.72	Watch
	2.5	2.75	2.75
	2.53	3.36	2.58
	2.54	2.85	2.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↑ (2.34)	2.99 ↓ (3.1)	2.7 ↓ (2.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vianense
36.1%

Draw
30.3%

Tirsense
33.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.4%

29.1%

32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.2%

29.3%

32.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vianense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Tirsense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vianense than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tirsense than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Vianense - Tirsense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
40', 0 - 1, ⚽,
43', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
55', 2 - 1, ⚽,
73', 🟥,
88', 3 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 5 and 6)

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vianense won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 1.2:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Vianense won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Tirsense	4	3	0	1	7:2	5	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Vianense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
10.01.26	Chaves B - Vianense	1:2 ✺
21.12.25	Limianos - Vianense	2:1 ✺
14.12.25	Vianense - Desportivo Monção	1:1 ✺
07.12.25	Mirandela - Vianense	1:3 ✺
30.11.25	Vianense - Ribeira Brava	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WLTWW
- Tirsense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
10.01.26	Tirsense - Bragança	1:2 ✺
21.12.25	Chaves B - Tirsense	0:1 ✺
14.12.25	Tirsense - Limianos	1:0 ✺
07.12.25	Desportivo Monção - Tirsense	1:1 ✺
30.11.25	Tirsense - Mirandela	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
18.08.25	Tirsense - Vianense	1:1
16.02.25	Vianense - Tirsense	3:2
06.10.24	Tirsense - Vianense	3:2
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
29.01.23	Vianense - Tirsense	0:1
09.10.22	Tirsense - Vianense	1:0

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