Match Info

ENGLAND: SOUTHERN LEAGUE SOUTH DIVISION - ROUND 21

Date: 7 December 2022, Wednesday 🏁 Finished


	Tiverton Town		North Leigh

	1	X	2
	1.46	4.1	5.25
	1.55	3.95	4.1
	1.64	4.2	3.8
	1.5	4.36	5.67
	1.47	4.3	5.55
	1.83	3.75	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↑ (1.42)	4.11 ↓ (4.5)	4.65 ↓ (5.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tiverton Town
58.1%

Draw
22.3%

North Leigh
19.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

63.4%

20%

16.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.2%

18.9%

15.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tiverton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tiverton Town's form might have worsened.

North Leigh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tiverton Town than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tiverton Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for North Leigh than the current prediction. (-4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	25%	12.5%

Tiverton Town - North Leigh Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Tiverton will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). North Leigh will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tiverton: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League South Division (Play Offs) and 22 in the zone Relegation).

Tiverton is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

North Leigh has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Tiverton could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Tiverton is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Tiverton won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tiverton Town
English Southern League South Division
03.12.22	Gosport Borough - Tiverton Town	2:1 ✺
19.11.22	Tiverton Town - Merthyr Town	2:2 ✺
12.11.22	Tiverton Town - Hartley Wintney	1:0 ✺
05.11.22	Winchester City - Tiverton Town	1:2 ✺
29.10.22	Tiverton Town - Poole Town	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 LTWWW
- North Leigh
English Southern League South Division
03.12.22	North Leigh - Poole Town	0:4 ✺
22.11.22	Winchester City - North Leigh	2:2 ✺
19.11.22	North Leigh - Hendon	0:2 ✺
12.11.22	North Leigh - Beaconsfield Town	0:2 ✺
05.11.22	Truro City - North Leigh	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

English FA Trophy
08.10.22	North Leigh - Tiverton Town	4:3 penalties

Tiverton Town - North Leigh