Match Info

ENGLAND: Southern League Premier South - Round 25

Date: 4 January 2025, Saturday


	Tiverton Town		Merthyr Town

	1	X	2
	3.6	4.33	1.65
	3.65	4.5	1.65
	4.13	5.24	1.57
	4.5	4.33	1.5
	4.04	3.88	1.69
	3.65	4.5	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.93 ↓ (7.6)	4.46 ↓ (5.36)	1.62 ↑ (1.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tiverton Town
23.2%

Draw
20.4%

Merthyr Town
56.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12%

17%

70.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tiverton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tiverton Town's performance.

Merthyr Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Merthyr Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Tiverton Town - Merthyr Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
62', 1 - 0, Jenkins O. ⚽,
75', 1 - 1, Jarvis C. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Tiverton won 1.

Tiverton is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Merthyr is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Merthyr could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Merthyr have a series of guest games.

In this match Merthyr is certain favorite.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Tiverton won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 17:25 (average 1.4:2.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Tiverton won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 12:7 (average 2:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tiverton Town
English Southern League South Division
01.01.25	Plymouth Parkway - Tiverton Town	0:0 ✺
28.12.24	Chertsey Town - Tiverton Town	2:2 ✺
26.12.24	Tiverton Town - Taunton Town	0:3 ✺
21.12.24	Dorchester Town - Tiverton Town	5:0 ✺
14.12.24	Tiverton Town - Totton	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 TTLLL
- Merthyr Town
English Southern League South Division
01.01.25	Merthyr Town - Gloucester City	2:2 ✺
28.12.24	Merthyr Town - Walton & Hersham	5:2 ✺
26.12.24	Hungerford Town - Merthyr Town	1:3 ✺
14.12.24	Poole Town - Merthyr Town	1:6 ✺
10.12.24	Taunton Town - Merthyr Town	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
10.08.24	Merthyr Town - Tiverton Town	6:0
30.03.24	Tiverton Town - Merthyr Town	2:0
15.08.23	Merthyr Town - Tiverton Town	2:1
19.11.22	Tiverton Town - Merthyr Town	2:2
16.08.22	Merthyr Town - Tiverton Town	2:0
18.12.21	Tiverton Town - Merthyr Town	2:2
28.09.21	Merthyr Town - Tiverton Town	1:2

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