Match Info

ENGLAND: Southern League Premier South - Round 35

Date: 15 March 2025, Saturday


	Winchester City		Tiverton Town

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.6	3.3
	1.87	3.7	3.4
	1.84	3.95	3.45
	2.01	3.78	3.29
	1.92	3.56	3.36
	1.87	3.7	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↑ (1.77)	3.72 ↓ (3.73)	3.37 ↓ (3.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Winchester City
48.3%

Draw
24.6%

Tiverton Town
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.2%

24.3%

24.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.9%

23.5%

23.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Winchester City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Tiverton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Winchester City than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tiverton Town than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Winchester City - Tiverton Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
65', 0 - 1, Jamison R. (Own goal),
88', 0 - 2, Parker J. ⚽,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 18 and 21 in the zone Relegation).

Winchester is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Tiverton is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Tiverton could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Winchester have a series of guest games.

Winchester will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Winchester won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8:9 (average 1.6:1.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Winchester won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:3 (average 1.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Winchester City
English Southern League South Division
08.03.25	Poole Town - Winchester City	3:2 ✺
01.03.25	Havant & Waterlooville - Winchester City	0:1 ✺
22.02.25	Winchester City - Sholing	0:2 ✺
18.02.25	Taunton Town - Winchester City	1:1 ✺
15.02.25	Gloucester City - Winchester City	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LWLTL
- Tiverton Town
English Southern League South Division
08.03.25	Tiverton Town - Frome Town	0:0 ✺
04.03.25	Tiverton Town - Havant & Waterlooville	0:0 ✺
01.03.25	Tiverton Town - Basingstoke Town	0:5 ✺
22.02.25	Walton & Hersham - Tiverton Town	3:0 ✺
15.02.25	Poole Town - Tiverton Town	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 TTLLW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
21.09.24	Tiverton Town - Winchester City	2:1
18.04.24	Tiverton Town - Winchester City	2:0
30.01.24	Winchester City - Tiverton Town	2:1
22.04.23	Tiverton Town - Winchester City	2:4
05.11.22	Winchester City - Tiverton Town	1:2

Winchester City - Tiverton Town: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide