Match Info

ENGLAND: SOUTHERN LEAGUE SOUTH DIVISION - ROUND 20

Date: 22 November 2022, Tuesday 🏁 Finished


	Winchester City		North Leigh

	1	X	2
	1.58	4	4.2
	1.58	4.1	4.3
	1.61	4.28	4.45
	1.6	3.8	4.5
	1.59	4.15	4.5
	1.57	4.2	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.68)	4.09 ↑ (3.72)	4.41 ↑ (3.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Winchester City
57.2%

Draw
22.2%

North Leigh
20.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

53.3%

24.1%

22.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.9%

21.2%

25.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Winchester City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

North Leigh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Winchester City than the current prediction. (-10.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Winchester City that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for North Leigh than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that North Leigh could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Winchester City - North Leigh Predictions

Users Predictions: Winchester City will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Winchester is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

North Leigh has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Winchester is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Winchester won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Winchester City
English Southern League South Division
19.11.22	Truro City - Winchester City	3:0 ✺
12.11.22	Hanwell Town - Winchester City	1:2 ✺
05.11.22	Winchester City - Tiverton Town	1:2 ✺
01.11.22	Winchester City - Bracknell Town	2:3 ✺
English FA Trophy
29.10.22	Winchester City - Swindon Supermarine	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWLLL
- North Leigh
English Southern League South Division
19.11.22	North Leigh - Hendon	0:2 ✺
12.11.22	North Leigh - Beaconsfield Town	0:2 ✺
05.11.22	Truro City - North Leigh	6:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
30.10.22	Bracknell Town - North Leigh	3:2 ✺
English Southern League South Division
25.10.22	Weston-super-Mare - North Leigh	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
16.08.22	North Leigh - Winchester City	2:4

Winchester City - North Leigh