Match Info

Premier League - Round 15

Date: 5 January 2026, Monday

Location: Edward Seaga Sports Complex (Kingston)


	Tivoli Gardens		Portmore United

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.05	2.92	2.25	Watch
	3.25	2.98	2.35	Watch
	3	2.75	2.3
	3.23	3.02	2.34
	3.14	2.8	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.13 ↓ (3.63)	2.89 ↓ (3.14)	2.31 ↑ (2.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tivoli Gardens
29.1%

Draw
31.5%

Portmore United
39.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.6%

29.6%

44.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tivoli Gardens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Portmore United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Portmore United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Tivoli Gardens - Portmore United Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Tivoli Gardens (2.17) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tivoli Gardens (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
16', 1 - 0, Leachman A. ⚽,
35', 1 - 1, Peck C. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
79', 1 - 2, Brown J. ⚽,
90+2', 2 - 2, Lewis A. ⚽,
90+5', Nelson A. 🟥,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tivoli Gardens won 0.

Portmore's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Tivoli Gardens may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Portmore will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tivoli Gardens won 3 matches, drew 10 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 15:21. (average 0.8:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Tivoli Gardens won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 0.9:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Tivoli	4	2	2	0	7:2	5	8
7	Portmore	2	1	1	0	5:2	3	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tivoli Gardens FC
Jamaica National Premier League
29.12.25	Tivoli Gardens - Chapelton Maroons	2:0 ✺
21.12.25	Dunbeholden - Tivoli Gardens	1:0 ✺
11.12.25	Mount Pleasant - Tivoli Gardens	5:0 ✺
08.12.25	Tivoli Gardens - Waterhouse	2:1 ✺
20.10.25	Arnett Gardens - Tivoli Gardens	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WLLWW
- Portmore United
Jamaica National Premier League
28.12.25	Portmore United - Dunbeholden	0:0 ✺
21.12.25	Treasure Beach - Portmore United	2:0 ✺
14.12.25	Portmore United - Mount Pleasant	0:2 ✺
11.12.25	Waterhouse - Portmore United	1:2 ✺
07.12.25	Portmore United - Arnett Gardens	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Jamaica National Premier League
31.08.25	Portmore United - Tivoli Gardens	0:0
09.03.25	Portmore United - Tivoli Gardens	1:1
06.01.25	Tivoli Gardens - Portmore United	1:1
30.09.24	Portmore United - Tivoli Gardens	2:1
25.02.24	Tivoli Gardens - Portmore United	0:0
27.11.23	Portmore United - Tivoli Gardens	0:0
09.04.23	Portmore United - Tivoli Gardens	2:1

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