Match Info

Premier League - Round 8

Date: 12 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Steths Sports Complex (Santa Cruz)


	Treasure Beach		Waterhouse

	1	X	2
	4.35	3.45	1.68
	4.82	3.5	1.71
	3.58	3.38	1.98	Watch
	4.27	3.46	1.74	Watch
	3.44	3.42	1.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.09 ↑ (3.45)	3.44 ↑ (3.4)	1.81 ↓ (1.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Treasure Beach
22.5%

Draw
26.7%

Waterhouse
50.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.1%

26.5%

47.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.5%

25.9%

48.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Treasure Beach has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Waterhouse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Treasure Beach than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Waterhouse than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Treasure Beach - Waterhouse Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
38', (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', (Pen),
81', (Pen),

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 8 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Waterhouse is considered a favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Treasure Beach won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 1.5:4).

Including home match between the teams, Treasure Beach won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Treasure Beach FC
Jamaica National Premier League
06.10.25	Arnett Gardens - Treasure Beach	0:1 ✺
28.09.25	Treasure Beach - Harbour View	1:1 ✺
21.09.25	Cavalier - Treasure Beach	2:1 ✺
14.09.25	Treasure Beach - Racing United	2:4 ✺
07.09.25	Treasure Beach - Molynes United	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WTLLT
- Waterhouse FC
Jamaica National Premier League
05.10.25	Waterhouse - Mount Pleasant	1:1 ✺
29.09.25	Waterhouse - Chapelton Maroons	3:0 ✺
22.09.25	Arnett Gardens - Waterhouse	2:1 ✺
15.09.25	Waterhouse - Harbour View	1:2 ✺
08.09.25	Cavalier - Waterhouse	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 TWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Jamaica National Premier League
20.03.24	Treasure Beach - Waterhouse	2:4
18.12.23	Waterhouse - Treasure Beach	4:1

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