Match Info
Serie D - Round 13Date: 19 July 2025, SaturdayLocation: Estadio Joao Ribeiro (Tocantinopolis)
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 |
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 |
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Tocantinópolis |
|
Altos |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
3.4 |
3 |
2 |
|
 |
3.55 |
3.05 |
1.98 |
|
 |
3.63 |
3.01 |
2 |
|
 |
3.08 |
2.46 |
2.85 |
 Watch |
 |
3.84 |
3.04 |
1.96 |
|
 |
4 |
3.4 |
1.83 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.58 ↓
(4.1) |
2.99 ↓
(3.6) |
2.1 ↑
(1.7) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Tocantinópolis
25.6% | Draw
30.7% | Altos
43.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tocantinópolis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)Altos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Altos might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tocantinópolis than the current prediction. (-4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Altos than the current prediction. (+10.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Altos could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Tocantinópolis - Altos Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Altos (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
- BTS - yes (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 90+3', 1 - 0, Marcos Paulo ⚽,
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 7 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)). Altos is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)Tocantinópolis has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).Altos is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins). In this match, Altos is the team to beat.In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Tocantinópolis won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.7:1.3).Including home match between the teams, Tocantinópolis won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Brazilian Serie D | | | 26.04.25 | Altos - Tocantinópolis | 1:1 | | 03.07.24 | Altos - Tocantinópolis | 2:1 | | 19.05.24 | Tocantinópolis - Altos | 3:1 |
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