The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Tocantinópolis 57.2%
Draw 24.2%
Araguacema 18.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
56.7%
23.7%
19.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
69.5%
19.3%
16%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tocantinópolis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
Araguacema has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tocantinópolis than the current prediction. (+12.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tocantinópolis, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Araguacema than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
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Preview
Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 in the zone Relegation and 6).
Tocantinópolis is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recent matches Araguacema is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Tocantinópolis could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Tocantinópolis is a favorite.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Tocantinópolis won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-3.
Including matches at home between the teams Tocantinópolis won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-3.