Match Info

Date: 26 June 2022, Sunday

Location: Kanseki Stadium Tochigi (Utsunomiya)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	Tochigi		Grulla Morioka

	1	X	2
	2.25	3	3.6	Watch
	2.1	2.87	3.4
	2.25	2.87	3.55
	2.2	2.9	3.45
	2.28	3.07	3.7
	2.15	2.88	3.4
	2.26	3.1	3.52	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↑ (2.11)	2.96 ↑ (2.75)	3.52 ↓ (3.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tochigi
42.1%

Draw
31.5%

Grulla Morioka
26.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.9%

32.9%

24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.5%

37.2%

21.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tochigi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Grulla Morioka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tochigi than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tochigi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grulla Morioka than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Grulla Morioka, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.6%	29.2%	56.2%

Tochigi - Grulla Morioka Predictions

Users Predictions: 48 users predict this event. Tochigi will win (votes: 7 - 14.6%). Grulla Morioka will win (votes: 27 - 56.3%). It will Tie (votes: 14 - 29.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Grulla Morioka: 42.3% – 70.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 19 and 21 in the zone Relegation).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Tochigi could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Tochigi will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Tochigi won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tochigi SC
Japan Emperors Cup
22.06.22	Yokohama F. Marinos - Tochigi	0:2 ✺
Japan J2 League
18.06.22	Tochigi - Oita Trinita	1:1 ✺
12.06.22	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Tochigi	0:0 ✺
05.06.22	Tochigi - V-Varen Nagasaki	2:3 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
01.06.22	Fagiano Okayama - Tochigi	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24 WTTLW
- Grulla Morioka
Japan Emperors Cup
22.06.22	Avispa Fukuoka - Grulla Morioka	3:1 ✺
Japan J2 League
18.06.22	Grulla Morioka - Tokushima Vortis	1:0 ✺
15.06.22	Grulla Morioka - Montedio Yamagata	3:3 ✺
12.06.22	Tokyo Verdy - Grulla Morioka	2:2 ✺
05.06.22	Grulla Morioka - Ventforet Kofu	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.9 LWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
20.03.22	Grulla Morioka - Tochigi	1:1

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