Match Info

JAPAN: J2 LEAGUE - ROUND 7

Date: 30 March 2024, Saturday

Location: Kanseki Stadium Tochigi (Utsunomiya)

Referee: Ohashi Y. (Jpn)


	Tochigi		V-Varen Nagasaki

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.4	1.91	Watch
	3.75	3.1	1.87
	4	3.3	1.9	Watch
	4.33	3.45	1.96
	4.36	3.45	1.92
	3.8	3.25	1.85
	3.82	3.38	1.92	Watch
	4.1	3.3	1.89
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.06 ↓ (4.08)	3.33 ↓ (3.48)	1.9 ↑ (1.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tochigi
23%

Draw
28%

V-Varen Nagasaki
49%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.9%

26.8%

50.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.2%

26%

51.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tochigi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

V-Varen Nagasaki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tochigi than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for V-Varen Nagasaki than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	66.7%	16.7%

Tochigi - V Varen Nagasaki Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Tochigi will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). V-Varen Nagasaki will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
27. Tanno K. (G) 33. Rafael Costa 2. Hiramatsu W. 17. Fujitani T. 24. Kanbe K. 7. Ishida R. 38. Kobori S. 42. Minamino H. 6. Omori S. 29. Yano K. 18. Kawana R.	31. Harada G. (G) 27. Moyo M. 29. Arai I. 5. Tanaka H. 23. Yoneda S. 17. Akino H. 13. Kato M. 6. Matheus Jesus 8. Masuyama A. 9. Juanma Delgado 33. Kasayanagi T.
Substitutes
22. Aoshima T. 14. Dohi K. 1. Kawata S. (G) 32. Miyazaki K. 10. Mori T. 15. Okuda K. 5. Otani N.	11. Junio E. 38. Matsuzawa K. 34. Satsukida S. 19. Sawada T. 37. Sehata G. 21. Wakahara T. (G) 24. Yamada R.
Coaches
Tanaka M.	Shimotaira T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
43', 0 - 1, Matheus Jesus ⚽, Kasayanagi T. (A),
45+1', Omori S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
52', Yano K. ↓, Miyazaki K. ↑,
58', Minamino H. (Pen),
63', Juanma Delgado ↓, Junio E. ↑,
63', Kasayanagi T. ↓, Matsuzawa K. ↑,
69', Kobori S. ↓, Aoshima T. ↑,
69', Oshima K. ↓, Okuda K. ↑,
79', Rafael Costa ↓, Otani N. ↑,
79', Omori S. ↓, Mori T. ↑,
86', Akino H. ↓, Yamada R. ↑,
90', 1 - 1, Minamino H. ⚽,
90+1', Yoneda S. ↓, Satsukida S. ↑,
90+1', Kato M. ↓, Sehata G. ↑,
90+4', 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 8 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ J2 League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Tochigi won 1.

Recent matches Tochigi is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

V-Varen Nagasaki is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

V-Varen Nagasaki will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Tochigi won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 9-20.

Including matches at home between the teams Tochigi won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 4-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tochigi SC
Japan J2 League
24.03.24	Tochigi - Oita Trinita	2:1 ✺
20.03.24	Blaublitz Akita - Tochigi	3:0 ✺
16.03.24	Tochigi - Yokohama FC	1:0 ✺
Japan J League Cup
13.03.24	Grulla Morioka - Tochigi	1:0 ✺
Japan J2 League
09.03.24	Ventforet Kofu - Tochigi	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 WLWLW
- V-Varen Nagasaki
Japan J2 League
24.03.24	V-Varen Nagasaki - Ventforet Kofu	1:1 ✺
20.03.24	Ehime - V-Varen Nagasaki	1:2 ✺
17.03.24	Renofa Yamaguchi - V-Varen Nagasaki	0:1 ✺
10.03.24	V-Varen Nagasaki - Shimizu S-Pulse	4:1 ✺
Japan J League Cup
06.03.24	Ehime - V-Varen Nagasaki	3:4 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.7 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
19.08.23	V-Varen Nagasaki - Tochigi	1:2
12.03.23	Tochigi - V-Varen Nagasaki	0:0
21.09.22	V-Varen Nagasaki - Tochigi	1:1
05.06.22	Tochigi - V-Varen Nagasaki	2:3
13.11.21	V-Varen Nagasaki - Tochigi	3:0
19.06.21	Tochigi - V-Varen Nagasaki	0:2
04.10.20	Tochigi - V-Varen Nagasaki	0:1

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