Match Info

JAPAN: J2 LEAGUE - ROUND 6

Date: 24 March 2024, Sunday

Location: Kanseki Stadium Tochigi (Utsunomiya)

Referee: Yoshida T. (Jpn)


	Tochigi		Oita Trinita

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.3	2.3	Watch
	2.95	2.9	2.25
	3.1	3	2.35	Watch
	3.41	3.05	2.47
	3.41	2.94	2.47
	3	3	2.25
	3.15	3.08	2.3	Watch
	3.15	3.05	2.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.17 ↑ (3.11)	3.04 ↑ (3)	2.34 ↓ (2.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tochigi
29.4%

Draw
30.7%

Oita Trinita
39.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.9%

31.1%

39%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.1%

31.3%

38.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tochigi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Oita Trinita has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tochigi than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oita Trinita than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	71.4%	14.3%

Tochigi - Oita Trinita Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Tochigi will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Oita Trinita will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 71.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
27. Tanno K. (G) 17. Fujitani T. 2. Hiramatsu W. 33. Rafael Costa 24. Kanbe K. 7. Ishida R. 38. Kobori S. 19. Oshima K. 6. Omori S. 15. Okuda K. 29. Yano K.	32. Hamada T. (G) 18. Nodake J. 25. Ando T. 34. Fujiwara Y. 2. Kagawa Y. 6. Yumiba M. 19. Kozakai A. 11. Watanabe A. 5. Nakagawa H. 4. Satsukawa A. 93. Nagasawa S.
Substitutes
22. Aoshima T. 14. Dohi K. 1. Kawata S. (G) 42. Minamino H. 32. Miyazaki K. 10. Mori T. 5. Otani N.	17. Haneda K. 13. Isa K. 27. Matsuo Y. 24. Nishikawa K. (G) 31. Sousa Pereira M. 39. Udo S. 29. Utsumoto S.
Coaches
Tanaka M.	Katanosaka T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
51', Omori S. 🟨,
55', 1 - 0, Ishida R. ⚽, Okuda K. (A),
58', Oshima K. 🟨,
63', Yano K. ↓, Miyazaki K. ↑,
63', Nakagawa H. ↓, Matsuo Y. ↑,
68', Oshima K. ↓, Minamino H. ↑,
68', Kobori S. ↓, Aoshima T. ↑,
74', Watanabe A. ↓, Isa K. ↑,
74', Kagawa Y. ↓, Udo S. ↑,
84', Ishida R. ↓, Otani N. ↑,
84', Omori S. ↓, Mori T. ↑,
84', Kozakai A. ↓, Haneda K. ↑,
90', 2 - 0, Okuda K. ⚽,
90', Yumiba M. ↓, Sousa Pereira M. ↑,
90+6', 2 - 1, Nagasawa S. (Pen),

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 15 and 7).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Tochigi won 0.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Oita Trinita will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Tochigi won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Tochigi won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tochigi SC
Japan J2 League
20.03.24	Blaublitz Akita - Tochigi	3:0 ✺
16.03.24	Tochigi - Yokohama FC	1:0 ✺
Japan J League Cup
13.03.24	Grulla Morioka - Tochigi	1:0 ✺
Japan J2 League
09.03.24	Ventforet Kofu - Tochigi	1:2 ✺
03.03.24	Tochigi - Montedio Yamagata	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 LWLWL
- Oita Trinita
Japan J2 League
20.03.24	Oita Trinita - Kagoshima United	3:0 ✺
16.03.24	Shimizu S-Pulse - Oita Trinita	2:0 ✺
10.03.24	Fujieda MYFC - Oita Trinita	0:1 ✺
Japan J League Cup
06.03.24	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Oita Trinita	1:0 ET ✺
Japan J2 League
02.03.24	Oita Trinita - Yokohama FC	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
22.10.23	Tochigi - Oita Trinita	1:1
05.03.23	Oita Trinita - Tochigi	1:0
18.06.22	Tochigi - Oita Trinita	1:1
27.04.22	Oita Trinita - Tochigi	0:0
21.07.18	Oita Trinita - Tochigi	0:0
25.02.18	Tochigi - Oita Trinita	2:4
10.10.15	Tochigi - Oita Trinita	1:1

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