The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Giravanz Kitakyushu 33.2%
Draw 30.3%
Oita Trinita 36.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
28.1%
29%
42.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.4%
28.7%
42.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Giravanz Kitakyushu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Giravanz Kitakyushu's performance.
Oita Trinita has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Oita Trinita might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Giravanz Kitakyushu than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oita Trinita than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Oita Trinita could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Giravanz Kitakyushu - Oita Trinita Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
41. Sugimoto M. (G) 4. Hasegawa K. 2. Narasaka T. 28. Konomi K. 6. Hoshi K. 13. Kumasawa K. 17. Okano R. 19. Yoshihara F. 9. Kawabe S. 7. Hirahara R. 18. Watanabe S.
1. Tanaka Y. (G) 30. Tone I. 33. Miyakawa A. 32. Sakata R. 7. Yoshida M. 72. Yamaguchi T. 19. Kozakai A. 16. Shige T. 20. Kimoto T. 21. Udo S. 17. Kim Hyun-woo
Substitutes
30. Fukumori K. 22. Ikoma J. 14. Izawa H. 40. Kanzawa R. 10. Nagai R. 31. Otani K. (G) 96. Saitai Y. 25. Tsubogo R. 8. Yoshinaga M.
9. Arima K. 13. Isa K. 37. Kimoto M. 6. Misao Y. 22. Mun Kyung-Gun (G) 2. Okamoto T. 8. Sakakibara K. 25. Yamazaki T. 15. Yashiki Y.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
3', Tone I. 🟨,
19', 1 - 0, Kawabe S. ⚽, Hirahara R. (A),
32', Kimoto T. 🟨,
36', 1 - 1, Kimoto T. ⚽, Kim Hyun-woo (A),
41', 2 - 1, Yoshihara F. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Kim Hyun-woo ↓, Isa K. ↑,
62', Yoshihara F. ↓, Ikoma J. ↑,
67', Watanabe S. 🟨,
69', Shige T. ↓, Yamazaki T. ↑,
69', Udo S. ↓, Arima K. ↑,
70', Watanabe S. ↓, Nagai R. ↑,
70', Kawabe S. ↓, Tsubogo R. ↑,
76', Kimoto T. ↓, Kimoto M. ↑,
83', Sakata R. ↓, Misao Y. ↑,
84', Misao Y. 🟨,
90+4', Kumasawa K. ↓, Izawa H. ↑,
90+4', Konomi K. ↓, Fukumori K. ↑,
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Giravanz won 2.
Recent form of Giravanz has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
In recent matches, Oita Trinita has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
Giravanz may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Oita Trinita could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Giravanz won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 0.8:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Giravanz won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).
Last Results with these Odds
Giravanz Kitakyushu - the odds 3.3 are the expected chance of winning is 28.1%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.
China
Japan
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Sugimoto M. (G) 
Kim Hyun-woo 
