Match Info

J2/J3 League - Round 15

Date: 6 May 2026, Wednesday

Location: City Football Station (Tochigi)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	AbemaTV, DAZN Japan


	Tochigi City		Yokohama FC

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.1	3.4	2	Watch
	3.26	3.53	2.08
	3.32	3.56	2.05	Watch
	3.25	3.4	1.91
	3.54	3.29	2.07	Watch
	3.55	3.25	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.34 ↓ (3.6)	3.41 ↑ (3.3)	2.02 ↑ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tochigi City
27.5%

Draw
27%

Yokohama FC
45.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.7%

28%

46.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.4%

26.6%

48.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tochigi City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Yokohama FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tochigi City than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yokohama FC than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	50%	50%

Tochigi City - Yokohama FC Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Yokohama FC will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Kodama J. (G) 5. Okui R. 42. Jonjic M. 17. Chinen T. 88. Masukake Y. 20. Pedro Augusto 7. Mori T. 24. Nishiya K. 19. Karlsson D.M. 8. Yamashita K. 77. Tanaka P.	21. Ichikawa A. (G) 22. Iwatake K. 19. Sugita H. 5. Hosoi K. 13. Kubota R. 7. Yamada K. 35. Uda K. 48. Shimbo K. 10. Joao Paulo 78. Iwasaki R. 90. Adailton
Substitutes
31. Aizawa P. (G) 99. Hiraoka M. 33. Inui T. 6. Kato Jo 18. Kato M. 32. Koike Y. 28. Konishi K. 9. Suzuki M. 23. Yoshida A.	39. Endo T. 24. Hata J. 42. Ishii R. (G) 16. Ito M. 28. Kumakura K. 9. Lukian 18. Mori K. 77. Takae L. 14. Takashio H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
23', 0 - 1, Iwatake K. ⚽, Iwasaki R. (A),
43', Mori T. 🟨,
45', 1 - 1, Mori T. ⚽,
45+1', 1 - 2, Uda K. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
53', 2 - 2, Yamashita K. ⚽, Karlsson D.M. (A),
56', Adailton ↓, Lukian ↑,
56', Joao Paulo ↓, Endo T. ↑,
57', Jonjic M. 🟨,
66', Kubota R. ↓, Takae L. ↑,
72', Karlsson D.M. ↓, Koike Y. ↑,
77', Sugita H. ↓, Ito M. ↑,
77', Iwasaki R. ↓, Mori K. ↑,
81', Mori T. ↓, Kato M. ↑,
81', Masukake Y. ↓, Inui T. ↑,
81', Yamashita K. ↓, Hiraoka M. ↑,
85', Yamada K. 🟨,
Penalties (4 - 5)
1, Tanaka P. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Shimbo K. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Kodama J. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Iwatake K. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Hiraoka M. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Lukian (Penalty Awarded),
4, Kato M. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Mori K. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Koike Y. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Yamada K. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: )).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Yokohama FC might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Tochigi City won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tochigi City FC
Japan J2 J3 League
02.05.26	Shonan Bellmare - Tochigi City	1:2 ✺
29.04.26	Sagamihara - Tochigi City	1:0 ✺
25.04.26	Tochigi City - Tochigi	2:1 ✺
18.04.26	Vegalta Sendai - Tochigi City	5:0 ✺
12.04.26	Tochigi City - Vanraure Hachinohe	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WLWLL
- Yokohama FC
Japan J2 J3 League
02.05.26	Yokohama FC - Sagamihara	3:4 penalties ✺
29.04.26	Yokohama FC - Vanraure Hachinohe	4:1 ✺
25.04.26	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Yokohama FC	3:1 ✺
19.04.26	Blaublitz Akita - Yokohama FC	1:3 ✺
12.04.26	Montedio Yamagata - Yokohama FC	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 J3 League
22.02.26	Yokohama FC - Tochigi City	5:1

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