Match Info

Emperors Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 23 September 2026, Wednesday

Location: Machida GION Stadium (Machida)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	NHK BS1


	Machida Zelvia		Tochigi City

	1	X	2
	1.25	5.75	7
	1.24	5.50	8.50
	1.24	5.9	8.4
	1.3	5.86	9.37
	1.27	6.1	8.8	Watch
	1.28	5.25	9.25
	1.28	6.39	7.77	Watch
	1.24	5.8	8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.26 ↓ (1.28)	5.82 ↑ (5.4)	8.39 ↑ (7.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Machida Zelvia
73.1%

Draw
15.9%

Tochigi City
11%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

71.5%

17%

11.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Machida Zelvia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Tochigi City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Machida Zelvia - Tochigi City Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Machida Zelvia will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Tani K. (G) 33. Akimoto T. 15. Duke M. 14. Matsuo Y. 88. Nakamura H. 20. Nishimura T. 50. Okamura D. 2. Ouwejan T. 8. Sento K. 18. Shimoda H. 3. Shoji G.	1. Harada Y. (G) 17. Chinen T. 33. Inui T. 6. Kato Jo 18. Kato M. 28. Konishi K. 93. Nguen T. 10. Okaniwa Y. 5. Okui R. 9. Suzuki M. 8. Yamashita K.
Substitutes
5. Dresevic I. 66. Koch A. (G) 16. Mae H. 6. Mochizuki H. 13. Morita T. (G) 9. Ogawa K. 23. Shirasaki R. 34. Tokumura F.	97. Kim Jin-Hyeon (G) 32. Koike Y. 88. Masukake Y. 7. Mori T. 24. Nishiya K. 13. Oshima T. 22. Suzuki H. 3. Teruyama H. 23. Yoshida A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
23', 1 - 0, Duke M. ⚽,
25', Kato Jo 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
56', Nguen T. ↓, Masukake Y. ↑,
56', Yamashita K. ↓, Yoshida A. ↑,
56', Suzuki M. ↓, Koike Y. ↑,
63', Duke M. ↓, Ogawa K. ↑,
63', Nishimura T. ↓, Mae H. ↑,
69', 1 - 1, Koike Y. ⚽,
70', 2 - 1, Ogawa K. ⚽,
76', Okui R. ↓, Suzuki H. ↑,
80', Okaniwa Y. ↓, Mori T. ↑,
90', 🟨,

Preview

Machida Zelvia has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Performances by Tochigi City have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Machida Zelvia may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Machida Zelvia has enjoyed a run of consecutive matches in front of its home crowd.

In this match, Machida Zelvia enters as the overwhelming favorite.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Machida Zelvia
Japan J1 League
20.09.26	Machida Zelvia - Kashiwa Reysol	2:4 ✺
AFC Champions League 2
17.09.26	Machida Zelvia - Svay Rieng	2:0 ✺
Japan J1 League
12.09.26	Machida Zelvia - Yokohama F. Marinos	1:1 ✺
06.09.26	Nagoya Grampus - Machida Zelvia	1:3 ✺
02.09.26	Machida Zelvia - Kawasaki Frontale	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LWTWW
- Tochigi City FC
Japan J2 League
20.09.26	Tochigi City - Vegalta Sendai	1:3 ✺
12.09.26	Kataller Toyama - Tochigi City	0:0 ✺
06.09.26	Consadole Sapporo - Tochigi City	1:4 ✺
Japan J League Cup
02.09.26	Vanraure Hachinohe - Tochigi City	0:2 ✺
Japan J2 League
29.08.26	Tochigi City - Júbilo Iwata	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LTWWL

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