Match Info

J1 League - Round 25

Date: 9 August 2025, Saturday

Location: MNHK Spring Mitsuzawa Football Stadium (Yokohama)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Sporty TV, StarTimes App
Australia	Stan Sport
China	K-Ball, ZhiBo8
India	FanCode, FanCode
Japan	DAZN Japan
North-macedonia	TDM Desporto


	Yokohama FC		Urawa Red Diamonds

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.2	2.3	Watch
	3.3	3.1	2.25
	3.16	3.07	2.29	Watch
	3.4	3.22	2.38
	7.16	4.36	1.44	Watch
	3.25	3.1	2.2
	3.17	3.17	2.41	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.81 ↑ (2.73)	3.32 ↑ (3.31)	2.18 ↓ (2.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yokohama FC
25.7%

Draw
29.5%

Urawa Red Diamonds
44.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.5%

28.5%

36.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.3%

27.9%

36.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yokohama FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Yokohama FC's form might have worsened.

Urawa Red Diamonds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Urawa Red Diamonds's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yokohama FC than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Yokohama FC, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Urawa Red Diamonds than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Urawa Red Diamonds, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	42.9%	42.9%

Yokohama FC - Urawa Red Diamonds Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Yokohama FC will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). Urawa will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 42.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Urawa: 17% – 68.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Yokohama FC (votes: 1 - 20%). Urawa (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Slowik J. (G) 16. Ito M. 2. Nduka B. 30. Yamazaki K. 8. Yamane T. 22. Iwatake K. 76. Yamada K. 48. Shimbo K. 91. Lukian 33. Muroi K. 9. Sakuragawa S.	1. Nishikawa S. (G) 4. Ishihara H. 3. Danilo Boza 5. Hoibraaten M. 88. Naganuma Y. 25. Yasui K. 11. Gustafson S. 77. Kaneko T. 8. Matheus Savio 24. Matsuo Y. 17. Komori H.
Substitutes
90. Adailton 39. Endo T. 5. Fukumori A. 21. Ichikawa A. (G) 15. Ito S. 10. Joao Paulo 6. Komai Y. 23. Kubota R. 34. Ogura H.	9. Haraguchi G. 39. Hayakawa J. 6. Matsumoto T. 28. Nemoto K. 16. Niekawa A. (G) 26. Ogiwara T. 21. Okubo T. 14. Sekine T. 12. Thiago
Coaches
Miura F.	Skorza M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Komori H. ⚽,
28', Lukian 🟨,
37', Ito M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Yamane T. ↓, Endo T. ↑,
46', Muroi K. ↓, Komai Y. ↑,
54', 0 - 2, Komori H. ⚽,
56', Sakuragawa S. ↓, Adailton ↑,
63', Ito M. 🟨,
70', Hoibraaten M. 🟨,
73', Yasui K. ↓, Matsumoto T. ↑,
73', Matheus Savio ↓, Hayakawa J. ↑,
76', Matsuo Y. ↓, Haraguchi G. ↑,
76', Komori H. ↓, Thiago ↑,
78', Iwatake K. ↓, Fukumori A. ↑,
83', Nduka B. 🟨,
84', Naganuma Y. ↓, Nemoto K. ↑,
86', Lukian ↓, Joao Paulo ↑,
90+9', 1 - 2, Adailton ⚽, Yamazaki K. (A),

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Yokohama FC won 0.

Yokohama FC has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Urawa has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Yokohama FC may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Urawa could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Yokohama FC: Lara Y. (Red Card)

There will not play in Urawa: Shibato K. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Yokohama FC: Yamane T. (Injury)

There are questionable in Urawa: Watanabe R. (Injury)

We predict that Urawa will win today's game, with odds of 2.34.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Yokohama FC won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 5:13. (average 0.6:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Yokohama FC won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:6. (average 0.3:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Urawa Red Diamonds - the odds 2.56 are the expected chance of winning is 36.91%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yokohama FC
Club Friendly
25.07.25	Yokohama FC - Real Sociedad	1:2 ✺
Japan J1 League
20.07.25	Shimizu S-Pulse - Yokohama FC	2:0 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
16.07.25	Kyoto Sanga - Yokohama FC	4:3 penalties ✺
Japan J1 League
05.07.25	Yokohama FC - Yokohama F. Marinos	0:1 ✺
28.06.25	Tokyo - Yokohama FC	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Urawa Red Diamonds
Japan Emperors Cup
06.08.25	Montedio Yamagata - Urawa Red Diamonds	1:2 ✺
Japan J1 League
27.07.25	Urawa Red Diamonds - Avispa Fukuoka	0:0 ✺
23.07.25	Urawa Red Diamonds - Shonan Bellmare	4:1 ✺
19.07.25	Tokyo - Urawa Red Diamonds	3:2 ✺
FIFA Club World Cup
25.06.25	Urawa Red Diamonds - Monterrey	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J1 League
01.06.25	Urawa Red Diamonds - Yokohama FC	2:1
29.09.23	Urawa Red Diamonds - Yokohama FC	1:1
11.06.23	Yokohama FC - Urawa Red Diamonds	0:0
11.09.21	Yokohama FC - Urawa Red Diamonds	0:2
Japan J League Cup
19.05.21	Urawa Red Diamonds - Yokohama FC	2:0
21.04.21	Yokohama FC - Urawa Red Diamonds	1:2
Japan J1 League
10.03.21	Urawa Red Diamonds - Yokohama FC	2:0

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