Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP F - ROUND 21

Date: 29 January 2023, Sunday


	Tolentino		Matese

	1	X	2
	2.7	2.8	2.5
	2.8	2.75	2.5
	2.81	2.78	2.52
	2.85	2.8	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.79 ↑ (2.49)	2.78 ↓ (2.8)	2.52 ↓ (2.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tolentino
32.1%

Draw
32.2%

Matese
35.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.3%

32.2%

31.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6%

33.4%

30.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tolentino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Matese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tolentino than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tolentino, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matese than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Matese, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Tolentino - Matese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 6).

Tolentino is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Matese is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Tolentino won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Tolentino won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Tolentino
Italian Serie D - Group F
22.01.23	Fano - Tolentino	2:0 ✺
15.01.23	Tolentino - Termoli	1:1 ✺
07.01.23	Vastese - Tolentino	2:0 ✺
21.12.22	Roma City - Tolentino	1:1 ✺
18.12.22	Tolentino - Porto DAscoli	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LTLTL
- FC Matese
Italian Serie D - Group F
22.01.23	Matese - Pineto	0:1 ✺
15.01.23	Nuova Florida - Matese	0:1 ✺
08.01.23	Matese - Notaresco	0:0 ✺
21.12.22	Matese - Chieti	2:0 ✺
17.12.22	Cynthialbalonga - Matese	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group F
28.09.22	Matese - Tolentino	1:3
03.04.22	Matese - Tolentino	0:1
21.11.21	Tolentino - Matese	2:1
09.05.21	Tolentino - Matese	2:2

Tolentino - Matese: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide