Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP F - ROUND 20

Date: 22 January 2023, Sunday


	Matese		Pineto

	1	X	2
	3.8	2.87	1.95
	3.7	3	1.95
	3.84	3.06	1.9
	3.96	2.8	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.83 ↑ (3.55)	2.93 ↑ (2.91)	1.97 ↑ (1.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matese
23.6%

Draw
30.7%

Pineto
45.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.5%

29.8%

45.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.3%

27.1%

50.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

The chances for Pineto have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matese than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pineto than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Matese - Pineto Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 6 and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Matese won 1.

Recent matches Matese is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Pineto is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Matese could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Pineto will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Matese won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Matese won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Matese
Italian Serie D - Group F
15.01.23	Nuova Florida - Matese	0:1 ✺
08.01.23	Matese - Notaresco	0:0 ✺
21.12.22	Matese - Chieti	2:0 ✺
17.12.22	Cynthialbalonga - Matese	1:0 ✺
11.12.22	Matese - Montegiorgio	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WTWLT
- ASD Pineto Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group F
15.01.23	Pineto - Fano	0:2 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
11.01.23	Arezzo - Pineto	1:2 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group F
08.01.23	Termoli - Pineto	0:1 ✺
21.12.22	Vastese - Pineto	1:4 ✺
18.12.22	Pineto - Roma City	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group F
18.09.22	Pineto - Matese	2:2
14.04.22	Matese - Pineto	3:0
05.12.21	Pineto - Matese	0:0
16.06.21	Matese - Pineto	1:1
21.04.21	Pineto - Matese	2:0

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