Match Info

Liga MX U21 - Clausura - Round 17

Date: 25 April 2026, Saturday


	Toluca U21		Club León U21

	1	X	2
	2.02	3.3	3.15
	2.06	3.49	3.18
	2.12	3.4	3.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↑ (2.03)	3.4 ↓ (3.51)	3.19 ↑ (3.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Toluca U21
44.3%

Draw
27%

Club León U21
28.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

44.8%

26%

29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.1%

26.2%

29%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Toluca U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Club León U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toluca U21 than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Club León U21 than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Toluca U21 - Club León U21 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX U21 (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Recent form of Toluca U21 has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

León U21 is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

León U21 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Toluca U21 is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Toluca U21 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Toluca U21	12	9	3	0	0	26:9	33
2	Club Leon U21	13	7	4	0	2	24:14	29

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Toluca U21
Mexican Liga MX U21
22.04.26	Mazatlan U21 - Toluca U21	2:1 ✺
18.04.26	Club América U21 - Toluca U21	2:1 penalties ✺
12.04.26	Toluca U21 - Atlético San Luis U21	2:1 ✺
04.04.26	Querétaro U21 - Toluca U21	2:1 ✺
08.03.26	Toluca U21 - Juárez U21	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LLWLT
- Club León U21
Mexican Liga MX U21
21.04.26	Club León U21 - Club América U21	3:1 ✺
18.04.26	Club León U21 - Juárez U21	1:0 ✺
10.04.26	Puebla U21 - Club León U21	0:1 penalties ✺
04.04.26	Club León U21 - Atlas U21	1:0 ✺
21.03.26	Atlético San Luis U21 - Club León U21	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.4 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga MX U21
04.10.25	Club León U21 - Toluca U21	2:3 penalties

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