Match Info

Date: 15 May 2021, Saturday


	Tom Tomsk		Nizhny Novgorod

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.14	3.25	2.88
	1.96	3.05	3.55
	2.01	3.43	3.72
	2.05	3.1	3.6
	2.08	3.18	3.8	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↓ (2.89)	3.2 ↑ (3.13)	3.51 ↑ (2.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tom Tomsk
45%

Draw
28.8%

Nizhny Novgorod
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.1%

29.7%

38.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.1%

21.4%

53%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tom Tomsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tom Tomsk's performance.

Nizhny Novgorod has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nizhny Novgorod might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tom Tomsk than the current prediction. (-21.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tom Tomsk that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nizhny Novgorod than the current prediction. (+26.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nizhny Novgorod could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Tom Tomsk - Nizhny Novgorod Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Tom will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Tom won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 3-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Tom won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tom Tomsk
Russian FNL
08.05.21	Tom Tomsk - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	1:0 ✺
02.05.21	Orenburg - Tom Tomsk	2:0 ✺
28.04.21	Tom Tomsk - Chayka Peschanokopskoye	3:0 ✺
24.04.21	SKA Khabarovsk - Tom Tomsk	1:1 ✺
17.04.21	Tom Tomsk - Veles Moscow	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 WLWTT
- FC Nizhny Novgorod
Russian FNL
08.05.21	Chertanovo - Nizhny Novgorod	1:3 ✺
02.05.21	Nizhny Novgorod - Spartak 2 Moscow	4:0 ✺
28.04.21	Nizhny Novgorod - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	1:2 ✺
24.04.21	Orenburg - Nizhny Novgorod	2:1 ✺
17.04.21	Nizhny Novgorod - Chayka Peschanokopskoye	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Russian Cup
26.08.20	Tom Tomsk - Nizhny Novgorod	0:1
Russian FNL
01.08.20	Nizhny Novgorod - Tom Tomsk	1:0
07.07.19	Nizhny Novgorod - Tom Tomsk	0:2
24.11.18	Nizhny Novgorod - Tom Tomsk	2:1
12.08.18	Tom Tomsk - Nizhny Novgorod	0:1

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