Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 5 - ROUND 28

Date: 7 April 2023, Friday


	Tona		UE Sants

	1	X	2
	1.58	3.7	4.6
	1.55	3.85	4.98
	1.56	4	5.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.59)	3.85 ↑ (3.64)	4.91 ↑ (4.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tona
58%

Draw
23.5%

UE Sants
18.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.2%

24.5%

19.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6%

18.6%

25.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

UE Sants has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tona than the current prediction. (-15.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tona that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UE Sants than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that UE Sants could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Tona - UE Sants Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 11 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Tona is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sants has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Tona is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Tona won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UE Tona
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
01.04.23	Rapitenca - Tona	2:1 ✺
25.03.23	Tona - Peralada	0:1 ✺
19.03.23	Pobla de Mafumet - Tona	5:2 ✺
12.03.23	Tona - Castelldefels	2:1 ✺
05.03.23	Tona - Grama	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LLLWW
- UE Sants
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
02.04.23	UE Sants - Grama	2:3 ✺
26.03.23	Vilafranca - UE Sants	3:2 ✺
19.03.23	UE Sants - Girona B	0:3 ✺
12.03.23	CE Europa - UE Sants	1:0 ✺
05.03.23	UE Sants - Montañesa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
04.12.22	UE Sants - Tona	1:1

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