Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 5 - ROUND 27

Date: 2 April 2023, Sunday


	UE Sants		Grama

	1	X	2
	4	3.3	1.77
	3.5	3.05	1.87
	4.46	3.34	1.7
	4.4	3.52	1.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.09 ↑ (3.58)	3.3 ↑ (3.21)	1.77 ↓ (1.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

UE Sants
22%

Draw
27.2%

Grama
50.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.8%

27.7%

47.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.1%

26.9%

48.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UE Sants has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Grama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UE Sants than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grama than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

UE Sants - Grama Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sants won 3.

Sants has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Grama is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Grama will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Sants won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Sants won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UE Sants
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
26.03.23	Vilafranca - UE Sants	3:2 ✺
19.03.23	UE Sants - Girona B	0:3 ✺
12.03.23	CE Europa - UE Sants	1:0 ✺
05.03.23	UE Sants - Montañesa	1:1 ✺
26.02.23	Vilassar de Mar - UE Sants	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LLLTL
- FE Grama
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
26.03.23	Grama - Rapitenca	3:3 ✺
19.03.23	Peralada - Grama	2:2 ✺
12.03.23	Grama - Pobla de Mafumet	0:0 ✺
05.03.23	Tona - Grama	2:0 ✺
26.02.23	Grama - Castelldefels	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 TTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
27.11.22	Grama - UE Sants	1:3
13.02.22	UE Sants - Grama	1:0
10.10.21	Grama - UE Sants	2:0
25.02.21	UE Sants - Grama	1:0
26.11.20	Grama - UE Sants	2:0
08.09.18	Grama - UE Sants	3:1

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