Match Info

National League South - Round 27

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday


	Tonbridge Angels		Totton

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.45	2.88
	2.28	3.66	2.8	Watch
	2.2	3.4	2.9
	2.18	3.63	2.98
	2.12	3.5	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↓ (2.61)	3.53 ↓ (3.79)	2.91 ↑ (2.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tonbridge Angels
42.1%

Draw
26.2%

Totton
31.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.6%

24.5%

39.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.4%

23.7%

41.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tonbridge Angels has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tonbridge Angels's performance.

Totton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Totton might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tonbridge Angels than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tonbridge Angels that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Totton than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Totton could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Tonbridge Angels - Totton Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Totton (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
26', 1 - 0, Sablier M. ⚽,
28', 1 - 1, Clarke A. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
50', 2 - 1, Baker F. ⚽,
68', 3 - 1, Babajide O. ⚽,
71', 4 - 1, Korboa R. ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 17 and 11).

Recent form of Tonbridge has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Totton's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Tonbridge may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Tonbridge won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Outrights of English National League South for now

Tonbridge: 2.3% AFC Totton: 0.78%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Tonbridge	10	4	2	4	19:11	8	14
20	AFC Totton	9	3	1	5	8:15	-7	10

Last Results with these Odds

Tonbridge Angels - the odds 2.61 are the expected chance of winning is 35.6%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tonbridge Angels
English National League South
10.01.26	Enfield Town - Tonbridge Angels	1:1 ✺
03.01.26	Tonbridge Angels - Dorking Wanderers	2:2 ✺
30.12.25	Tonbridge Angels - Eastbourne Borough	3:4 ✺
26.12.25	Ebbsfleet United - Tonbridge Angels	1:0 ✺
20.12.25	Tonbridge Angels - Dagenham & Redbridge	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TTLLT
- AFC Totton
English National League South
03.01.26	Totton - Enfield Town	3:2 ✺
30.12.25	Totton - Chippenham Town	1:1 ✺
26.12.25	Salisbury - Totton	3:1 ✺
20.12.25	Totton - Torquay United	1:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
13.12.25	Woking - Totton	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WTLWL

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
16.08.25	Totton - Tonbridge Angels	3:0

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