The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Toronto FC II 31.9%
Draw 24%
New England Revolution II 44.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31%
25.5%
43.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.9%
24%
40.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Toronto FC II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
New England Revolution II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto FC II than the current prediction. (+1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for New England Revolution II than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
Toronto FC II - New England Revolution II Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
77. De Rosario A. (G) 72. Stampatori D. 89. Mikina G. 76. Stefanovic L. 74. Costabile L. 82. Boneau B. (C) 86. Salaou A. 87. Dawson L. 79. Bank F. 64. Nolan J. 93. Dixon D.
33. Parisian D. (G) 6. Dahlin G. (C) 15. Shannon J. 14. Smith T. 19. McIntosh D. 35. Oliveira C. 23. Mussenden J. 44. Azar L. 2. Smith J. 77. Wells M. 21. Morgan M.
Substitutes
91. Barrow D. 69. Blyth T. 65. Campbell-Dennis R. 73. Chisholm M. 75. Fisher R. 50. Kantorowicz D. (G) 84. Khodri E. 66. Nue-Brito D. 58. Stojadinovic M.
10. Da J. 20. George S. 74. Katsell L. 4. Mbai Assem C. 3. Mimy S. 72. Prajapati A. 17. Sasaki S. 50. Tibbetts M. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
31', Smith J. 🟨,
35', Boneau B. 🟨,
43', 0 - 1, Morgan M. ⚽, McIntosh D. (A),
45', 1 - 1, Costabile L. ⚽, Dawson L. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Salaou A. ↓, Blyth T. ↑,
46', Dixon D. ↓, Campbell-Dennis R. ↑,
46', Boneau B. ↓, Stojadinovic M. ↑,
62', 1 - 2, Mussenden J. ⚽,
72', Costabile L. ↓, Fisher R. ↑,
72', Nolan J. ↓, Khodri E. ↑,
84', Dahlin G. 🟨,
84', 1 - 3, McIntosh D. ⚽, Wells M. (A),
90+1', Dahlin G. ↓, Mbai Assem C. ↑,
Preview
Two mid-table squads battle for vital points to solidify their season (ranked 12th and 7th in the Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro Playoffs1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toronto II won 0.
In recent outings, Toronto II has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
New England II has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).
New England II could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, New England II has had a run of games away from home.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with New England II holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 17 head-to-head meetings, Toronto II has recorded 3 wins, 3 draws, and 11 losses, with a goal aggregate of 16:27 (averaging 0.9:1.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Toronto II against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, with 10:13 goals (averaging 1.1:1.4 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Toronto FC II - the odds 2.88 are the expected chance of winning is 31.05%, but this team recently wins 42% of matches with these odds.
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De Rosario A. (G) 
Costabile L. 
Boneau B. (C) 
Salaou A. 
Nolan J. 
Dahlin G. (C) 
Smith T. 
Blyth T. 
Mbai Assem C. 
Mimy S. 
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