The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
New York Red Bulls 2 60.9%
Draw 19.7%
Toronto FC II 19.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
57.2%
21.4%
21.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
63.1%
23.6%
19.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
New York Red Bulls 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
Toronto FC II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York Red Bulls 2 than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
The ML Model estimate for Toronto FC II aligns with the current prediction.
New York Red Bulls 2 - Toronto FC II Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
72. Szewczyk T. (G) 94. Baitinger S. 38. Bori J. 49. Munson J. 45. Faello C. 39. Benedetti N. 61. Cadigan D. 80. Worth N. (C) 22. Gjengaar D. 92. Nelich D. 70. Rojas A.
80. Nakhly Z. (G) 58. Stojadinovic M. 76. Stefanovic L. 98. Kapor S. 96. Chukwu R. 63. Pinnock S. 66. Nue-Brito D. 82. Boneau B. (C) 79. Bank F. 84. Khodri E. 64. Nolan J.
Substitutes
55. Causey A. (G) 89. Gallagher C. 60. Kone S. 20. Mina J. 52. Modelo A. 42. Morigi M. 83. Rodriguez B. 71. Sanchez A. 62. Sokoloff P.
91. Barrow D. 69. Blyth T. 74. Costabile L. 93. Dixon D. 75. Fisher R. 50. Kantorowicz D. (G) 89. Mikina G. 86. Salaou A. 72. Stampatori D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Khodri E. ⚽, Nue-Brito D. (A),
20', 1 - 1, Gjengaar D. ⚽, Worth N. (A),
42', 2 - 1, Gjengaar D. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Bori J. ↓, Sanchez A. ↑,
46', Kapor S. ↓, Fisher R. ↑,
52', 3 - 1, Rojas A. ⚽,
60', Dixon D. ↓, Pinnock S. ↑,
61', 4 - 1, Nelich D. ⚽, Rojas A. (A),
61', Rojas A. ↓, Gallagher C. ↑,
61', Nelich D. ↓, Rodriguez B. ↑,
67', 5 - 1, Gallagher C. ⚽, Rodriguez B. (A),
68', Nolan J. ↓, Blyth T. ↑,
69', Boneau B. ↓, Mikina G. ↑,
69', Bank F. ↓, Stampatori D. ↑,
73', Mikina G. 🟨,
75', Cadigan D. ↓, Kone S. ↑,
78', Gjengaar D. 🟨,
80', Benedetti N. ↓, Sokoloff P. ↑,
81', Stojadinovic M. ↓, Salaou A. ↑,
86', Gjengaar D. ↓, Morigi M. ↑,
90+4', Chukwu R. 🟨,
Preview
This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 13).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, New York Red Bulls 2 won 5.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
New York Red Bulls 2 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, New York Red Bulls 2 is the team to beat.
In the last 17 head-to-head matches, New York Red Bulls 2 won 12 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 36:18. (average 2.1:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, New York Red Bulls 2 won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 20:10. (average 2.2:1.1).
Last Results with these Odds
Toronto FC II - the odds 4.2 are the expected chance of winning is 21.39%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.
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Szewczyk T. (G) 
Bori J. 
Benedetti N. 
Gjengaar D. 
Rojas A. 
Nakhly Z. (G) 
Nolan J. 
Kone S. 
Mina J. 
Modelo A. 
Morigi M. 
Blyth T. 
Costabile L. 
Salaou A. 
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