The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk 19.9%
Draw 25.7%
Slavia Mozyr 54.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.5%
32.5%
30.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.7%
33.5%
29.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk's form might have worsened.
Slavia Mozyr has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+24.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Slavia Mozyr's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk than the current prediction. (+18.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Slavia Mozyr than the current prediction. (-25.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Slavia Mozyr, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
20%
80%
Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk - Slavia Mozyr Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Slavia Mozyr will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Sanko I. (G) 4. Akunets E. 90. Antilevskiy D. 79. Badoev K. 33. Gorbachik V. 13. Oreshkevich I. 23. Polyakov D. (C) 10. Sazonchik S. 11. Tsallagov D. 9. Vasin I. 18. Volskiy D.
1. Veretynskiy K. (G) 11. Antilevskiy A. 9. Batyshchev O. 49. Dzhigero A. (C) 6. Kuznetsov Y. 22. Lukashov A. 18. Melnikov N. 4. Rashchenya I. 21. Shevchenko E. 31. Solovey A. 88. Yashin D.
Substitutes
2. Bozhko E. 41. Lutik D. 71. Matveev M. 30. Soroko A. (G) 77. Sotnikov N. 26. Tkachenko V. 16. Vaschenko A. (G) 19. Veretennikov A.
16. Abramovich E. (G) 17. Chernook K. 27. Chikida P. 19. Derzhinskiy A. 14. Fedorenko D. 30. Likhtin V. 44. Lutsevich T. 3. Ngatchou R. 7. Romanov N. 2. Shemruk A.
Coaches
Voronkov I.
Bionchik I.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
13', Vasin I. ↓, Matveev M. ↑,
19', 1 - 0, Antilevskiy D. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Melnikov N. ↓, Shemruk A. ↑,
46', Batyshchev O. ↓, Fedorenko D. ↑,
58', Antilevskiy A. ↓, Chernook K. ↑,
58', Kuznetsov Y. ↓, Lutsevich T. ↑,
70', 1 - 1, Chernook K. ⚽,
73', 1 - 2, Solovey A. ⚽,
78', Sazonchik S. ↓, Bozhko E. ↑,
84', 1 - 3, Solovey A. ⚽,
89', Shevchenko E. ↓, Derzhinskiy A. ↑,
Preview
Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 and 11).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk won 1.
Recent form of Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Slavia Mozyr has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Slavia Mozyr may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Slavia Mozyr could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:13. (average 0.9:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1.3:1.3).
Belarus
Usa
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Sanko I. (G) 
Badoev K. 
Batyshchev O. 
Ngatchou R. 
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