Match Info

RUSSIA: FNL 2 - Division A Silver - Fall Season - Round 11

Date: 29 September 2024, Sunday

Location: Trud stadium (Miass)


	Torpedo Miass		Dynamo Bryansk

	1	X	2
	1.97	3.14	3.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↑ (1.93)	3.14 (3.14)	3.67 ↓ (3.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Torpedo Miass
46.2%

Draw
29%

Dynamo Bryansk
24.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.2%

29%

23.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6%

28.2%

23.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Torpedo Miass has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Dynamo Bryansk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Torpedo Miass than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dynamo Bryansk than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
27. Kovalev R. (G) 4. Adeniyi S. 14. Amelin A. 22. Kuzmin D. 5. Lopatko E. 62. Ofitserov M. 19. Pozdnyakov E. 23. Prutov D. (C) 8. Serchenkov S. 77. Uljanovskiy V. 7. Zamyatin D.	1. Akmurzin T. (G) 29. Badrtdinov I. 10. Drogunov V. 3. Mankov N. 4. Osipov D. 20. Pikatov D. 8. Saygushev E. 18. Shalaev O. (C) 7. Shlenkin A. 5. Shlyakov E. 30. Yakushin A.
Substitutes
81. Bogiev B. (G) 49. Bykov V. 21. Chapliev F. 97. Dubrovskiy V. 33. Fedosyuk V. 74. Kazimir M. 88. Kochergin I. 1. Kucheyko V. (G) 20. Maslennikov I. 18. Palkin V. 99. Rudnev M. 17. Shvedov A.	13. Ermakov A. A. (G) 21. Frolov Y. 27. Gabdullin I. 11. Gomanyuk I. 28. Karpekin A. 15. Novikov A. 19. Yamangulov A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Prutov D. (Own goal),
33', 1 - 1, Prutov D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
52', Zamyatin D. 🟨,
59', Serchenkov S. ↓, Kazimir M. ↑,
63', Shlyakov E. ↓, Yamangulov A. ↑,
64', Yakushin A. ↓, Novikov A. ↑,
64', Pikatov D. ↓, Gomanyuk I. ↑,
68', 2 - 1, Adeniyi S. ⚽,
74', Prutov D. ↓, Rudnev M. ↑,
74', Uljanovskiy V. ↓, Palkin V. ↑,
79', Osipov D. 🟨,
79', 🟨,
82', Amelin A. 🟨,
83', Pozdnyakov E. ↓, Maslennikov I. ↑,
83', Ofitserov M. ↓, Bykov V. ↑,
83', Osipov D. ↓, Karpekin A. ↑,

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ FNL 2 ~ Division A Gold (Spring Season: ) and 7 in the zone Relegation).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Recently Torpedo Miass have a series of guest games.

Torpedo Miass will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Torpedo Miass won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Torpedo Miass won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Torpedo Miass
Russian FNL 2 Division A Silver
21.09.24	Khimik Dzerzhinsk - Torpedo Miass	1:1 ✺
14.09.24	Volga Ulyanovsk - Torpedo Miass	1:1 ✺
07.09.24	Torpedo Miass - Mashuk-KMV Pyatigorsk	1:0 ✺
Russian Cup
03.09.24	Amkar Perm - Torpedo Miass	1:0 ✺
Russian FNL 2 Division A Silver
31.08.24	Krasnodar 2 - Torpedo Miass	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 TTWLW
- Dynamo Bryansk
Russian FNL 2 Division A Silver
20.09.24	Dynamo Bryansk - Volga Ulyanovsk	0:0 ✺
14.09.24	Krasnodar 2 - Dynamo Bryansk	1:1 ✺
08.09.24	Dynamo Bryansk - Irtysh Omsk	1:0 ✺
31.08.24	Murom - Dynamo Bryansk	1:0 ✺
25.08.24	Dynamo Bryansk - Metallurg Lipetsk	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 TTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division A Silver
03.08.24	Dynamo Bryansk - Torpedo Miass	0:1
02.06.24	Torpedo Miass - Dynamo Bryansk	1:2

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