Match Info

Date: 15 September 2021, Wednesday


	Torpedo Moscow		Tom Tomsk

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.37	4.2	9
	1.33	4.5	6.5
	1.38	4.1	6.8
	1.36	5.05	8.46
	1.36	4	8
	1.39	4.7	7.9	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.57)	4.43 ↑ (4)	7.78 ↑ (6.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Torpedo Moscow
67.4%

Draw
20.8%

Tom Tomsk
11.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.6%

23.8%

15.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

15.2%

24.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Torpedo Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Torpedo Moscow's performance.

Tom Tomsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Torpedo Moscow than the current prediction. (-28.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Torpedo Moscow that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tom Tomsk than the current prediction. (+12.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tom Tomsk could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Torpedo Moscow - Tom Tomsk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League and 14).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match Torpedo is absolute favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Torpedo won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Torpedo won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Torpedo Moscow
Russian FNL
11.09.21	Torpedo Moscow - Fakel	2:2 ✺
05.09.21	Baltika Kaliningrad - Torpedo Moscow	1:1 ✺
29.08.21	Torpedo Moscow - Metallurg Lipetsk	7:1 ✺
Russian Cup
26.08.21	Chayka Peschanokopskoye - Torpedo Moscow	1:0 ✺
Russian FNL
21.08.21	Volgar Astrakhan - Torpedo Moscow	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 TTWLW
- Tom Tomsk
Russian FNL
11.09.21	Krasnodar 2 - Tom Tomsk	2:1 ✺
05.09.21	KAMAZ - Tom Tomsk	2:1 ✺
29.08.21	Tom Tomsk - Rotor	1:1 ✺
21.08.21	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Tom Tomsk	0:1 ✺
15.08.21	Tom Tomsk - Akron Tolyatti	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 LLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
28.03.21	Tom Tomsk - Torpedo Moscow	1:0
04.10.20	Torpedo Moscow - Tom Tomsk	1:0
21.09.19	Torpedo Moscow - Tom Tomsk	2:1
06.05.13	Torpedo Moscow - Tom Tomsk	1:0
09.10.12	Tom Tomsk - Torpedo Moscow	2:1

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