Match Info

FNL - Round 31

Date: 27 April 2026, Monday

Location: Arena Khimki (Khimki)

Referee: Naboka D. (Rus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Russia	Match! Premier


	Torpedo Moscow		Fakel

	1	X	2
	3.13	3.05	2.61
	3.05	2.99	2.6	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.09 ↓ (3.13)	3.02 ↑ (2.94)	2.61 ↑ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Torpedo Moscow
31.2%

Draw
31.9%

Fakel
37%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.4%

32.3%

37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.8%

31.9%

36.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Torpedo Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Fakel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Torpedo Moscow than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fakel than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Torpedo Moscow - Fakel Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
86. Korets N. (G) 99. Shevchenko G. 4. Borodin S. (C) 3. Ivankov A. 90. Roganovic B. 27. Orekhov A. 47. Utkin D. 9. Shitov V. 33. Camara M. 10. Tsypchenko D. 79. Kashtanov A.	96. Obukhov I. (G) 5. Gabaraev A. 44. Zhuravlev Y. 20. Yurganov I. 55. Todorovic D. 8. Bagamaev A. 52. Netfullin R. (C) 97. Magomedov B. 99. Giorgobiani N. 7. Gnapi Dable A. 19. Pusi B.
Substitutes
11. Alekov A. 17. Berkovsky I. 84. Churilov V. 24. Gotsuk K. 83. Ishchenko N. 20. Kalayda D. 5. Moskvichev V. 77. Savichev K. 25. Soldatenko R. (G) 7. Yushin A.	70. Abdokov N. 10. Alshin I. 25. Belyaev A. 2. Cherov V. 1. Frolkin D. (G) 95. Gaponov I. 11. Motpan N. 18. Simonov K. 9. Turishchev M. 93. Uridia M.
Coaches
Kononov O.	Vasilenko O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
22', Roganovic B. ↓, Savichev K. ↑,
24', 1 - 0, Orekhov A. ⚽,
36', Borodin S. ↓, Gotsuk K. ↑,
40', 1 - 1, Magomedov B. ⚽,
44', Obukhov I. 🟥,
45+2', Pusi B. ↓, Frolkin D. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Camara M. ↓, Berkovsky I. ↑,
68', Bagamaev A. ↓, Simonov K. ↑,
68', Gnapi Dable A. ↓, Turishchev M. ↑,
69', Tsypchenko D. ↓, Yushin A. ↑,
69', Shitov V. ↓, Apekov R. ↑,
75', 2 - 1, Apekov R. ⚽,
81', Todorovic D. ↓, Uridia M. ↑,
81', Giorgobiani N. ↓, Alshin I. ↑,
89', 2 - 2, Turishchev M. ⚽,
90+2', Shevchenko G. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Torpedo won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Torpedo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Torpedo won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:16. (average 1.2:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Torpedo won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:9. (average 1.5:1.1).

Outrights of Russian FNL for now

Torpedo Moscow: 5.22%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Torpedo Moscow	12	6	3	3	21:9	12	21

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Torpedo Moscow
Russian FNL
22.04.26	Ural - Torpedo Moscow	2:0 ✺
17.04.26	Torpedo Moscow - KAMAZ	2:0 ✺
12.04.26	Torpedo Moscow - Arsenal Tula	1:1 ✺
06.04.26	Ufa - Torpedo Moscow	1:1 ✺
30.03.26	Torpedo Moscow - SKA Khabarovsk	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWTTW
- Fakel Voronezh
Russian FNL
22.04.26	Fakel - Shinnik	2:2 ✺
18.04.26	Chayka Peschanokopskoye - Fakel	2:0 ✺
13.04.26	Fakel - Rodina Moscow	1:3 ✺
05.04.26	Arsenal Tula - Fakel	1:2 ✺
01.04.26	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Fakel	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 TLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
03.11.25	Fakel - Torpedo Moscow	2:0
Club Friendly
06.02.25	Torpedo Moscow - Fakel	1:2
Russian Premier League
08.04.23	Torpedo Moscow - Fakel	2:0
Club Friendly
08.02.23	Torpedo Moscow - Fakel	1:1
Russian Premier League
02.10.22	Fakel - Torpedo Moscow	2:2
Club Friendly
09.07.22	Torpedo Moscow - Fakel	N/A
09.07.22	Torpedo Moscow - Fakel	1:2

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