Match Info

Date: 29 February 2020, Saturday


	Torquay United		Chorley

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.5	4
	1.87	3.4	3.8
	1.92	3.3	3.85
	1.92	3.37	3.68
	1.95	3.47	4.13
	1.73	3.8	4.5
	1.93	3.52	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↑ (1.71)	3.48 ↓ (3.72)	3.98 ↓ (4.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Torquay United
49.6%

Draw
26.9%

Chorley
23.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.7%

25.1%

20.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.8%

20%

16.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Torquay United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Torquay United's form might have worsened.

Chorley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Torquay United than the current prediction. (+19.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Torquay United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chorley than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chorley, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Torquay United - Chorley Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Torquay United
English National League
22.02.20	Torquay United - Halifax Town	1:0 ✺
01.02.20	Barrow - Torquay United	2:1 ✺
25.01.20	Torquay United - Ebbsfleet United	0:0 ✺
18.01.20	Fylde - Torquay United	2:3 ✺
English FA Trophy
11.01.20	Torquay United - Halifax Town	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WLTWL
- Chorley
English National League
22.02.20	Chorley - Barnet	0:1 ✺
15.02.20	Ebbsfleet United - Chorley	1:0 ✺
01.02.20	Yeovil Town - Chorley	1:1 ✺
25.01.20	Chorley - Halifax Town	0:1 ✺
18.01.20	Aldershot Town - Chorley	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LLTLT

Latest Head to Head

English National League
23.11.19	Chorley - Torquay United	1:0

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