Match Info

National League South - Round 33

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Plainmoor (Torquay)


	Torquay United		Maidenhead United

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.35	3.2
	2.06	3.4	3.5
	2.03	3.55	3.38	Watch
	2.05	3.2	3.4
	2.01	3.28	3.37
	2.05	3.33	3.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↑ (1.94)	3.35 ↓ (3.54)	3.36 ↓ (3.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Torquay United
45.1%

Draw
27.5%

Maidenhead United
27.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.8%

26.2%

26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

25.7%

25.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Torquay United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Maidenhead United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Torquay United than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maidenhead United than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Torquay United - Maidenhead United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
41', 1 - 0, Lo-Everton S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
54', 1 - 1, Umerah J. ⚽,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Torquay won 3.

Torquay is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Maidenhead has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Maidenhead may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Torquay has had a series of away games.

Torquay might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Torquay won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 21:17. (average 2.1:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Torquay won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:7. (average 1.8:1.4).

Outrights of English National League South for now

Torquay: 14.21% Maidenhead: 2.3%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Maidenhead	10	3	4	3	12:11	1	13
13	Torquay	10	3	4	3	13:14	-1	13

Last Results with these Odds

Torquay United - the odds 1.94 are the expected chance of winning is 47.81%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Maidenhead United - the odds 3.57 are the expected chance of winning is 25.98%, but this team recently wins 10% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Torquay United
English National League South
10.02.26	Chippenham Town - Torquay United	1:0 ✺
03.02.26	Dover Athletic - Torquay United	2:3 ✺
31.01.26	Hornchurch - Torquay United	1:2 ✺
24.01.26	Enfield Town - Torquay United	1:2 ✺
17.01.26	Torquay United - Maidstone United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWWWT
- Maidenhead United
English National League South
10.02.26	Tonbridge Angels - Maidenhead United	0:1 ✺
07.02.26	Maidenhead United - Farnborough	2:2 ✺
31.01.26	Ebbsfleet United - Maidenhead United	3:0 ✺
24.01.26	Chesham United - Maidenhead United	1:1 ✺
17.01.26	Maidenhead United - Enfield Town	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WTLTW

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
08.11.25	Maidenhead United - Torquay United	1:2
English National League
10.04.23	Maidenhead United - Torquay United	1:3
04.10.22	Torquay United - Maidenhead United	2:3
30.04.22	Torquay United - Maidenhead United	1:1
04.09.21	Maidenhead United - Torquay United	3:4
16.03.21	Maidenhead United - Torquay United	4:1
08.12.20	Torquay United - Maidenhead United	2:1

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