Match Info

National League South - Round 44

Date: 18 April 2025, Friday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Belgium	16:00	DAZN 1
Brazil	11:00	DAZN Brasil
Canada	10:00	DAZN Canada
France	16:00	DAZN France
Italy	16:00	DAZN Italia
Japan	23:00	DAZN Japan
Mexico	08:00	DAZN
New Zealand	02:00	DAZN New Zealand
Spain	16:00	DAZN Espana
United Kingdom	15:00	DAZN 1 UK
Usa	10:00	DAZN USA


	Truro City		Torquay United

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.1	2.95
	2.25	3.15	3.15
	2.41	3.1	3.19
	2.39	3.03	3.16	Watch
	2.26	3.25	3.14
	2.25	3.15	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↑ (2.25)	3.13 ↓ (3.15)	3.12 ↓ (3.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Truro City
40.6%

Draw
29.7%

Torquay United
29.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41.1%

29.4%

29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.2%

30.2%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Truro City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Torquay United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Truro City than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Torquay United than the current prediction. (-1%)

Truro City - Torquay United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
66', 0 - 1, Jay M. ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Truro won 1.

Now both teams are in good shape.

Recently Truro have a series of guest games.

Truro will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Truro won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 6:23 (average 0.7:2.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Truro won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3:8 (average 1:2.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Truro City
English National League South
12.04.25	Hornchurch - Truro City	1:3 ✺
05.04.25	Worthing - Truro City	1:2 ✺
29.03.25	Chelmsford City - Truro City	0:0 ✺
22.03.25	Truro City - Salisbury	1:0 ✺
15.03.25	Enfield Town - Truro City	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWTWL
- Torquay United
English National League South
12.04.25	Torquay United - Slough Town	2:0 ✺
05.04.25	Torquay United - Chesham United	1:2 ✺
29.03.25	Aveley - Torquay United	0:1 ✺
22.03.25	Torquay United - Bath City	1:0 ✺
15.03.25	Dorking Wanderers - Torquay United	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
01.01.25	Torquay United - Truro City	1:0
English FA Trophy
16.11.24	Torquay United - Truro City	1:0
English National League South
08.04.24	Truro City - Torquay United	1:2
26.12.23	Torquay United - Truro City	0:1
Club Friendly
30.07.22	Truro City - Torquay United	1:3
27.07.21	Torquay United - Truro City	3:0
English National League South
01.01.19	Truro City - Torquay United	1:3

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Truro City
English National League South
31.10.26	Truro City - Ebbsfleet United	✺
- Torquay United
English National League South
31.10.26	Walton & Hersham - Torquay United	✺

Truro City - Torquay United